The month ahead in Trefgraig: daytime temperatures averaging +14.6° and +12.5° overnight — that is 1.1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 23 mm), against a normal of 10 days and 75 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+16.1°), the coolest 8 October (+10.3°).
+14.6°/+12.5°
Average day / night
+1.1°
Above average
7 / 10
Wet days / normal
23 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+14.5°
+13.7°
+0.8°
17 October – 26 October
+14.6°
+12.8°
+1.8°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.9°
—
October records over 66 years
+20.3°10 October 2018All-time high
+1.7°30 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Pwllheli (18.8 km away).
Thu, 08+10 ° /15 °2.4
+15 °
Trefgraig, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Fri, 09+13 ° /15 °4.5
+15 °
Trefgraig, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind22 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point9°C
Sat, 10+12 ° /13 °3.3
+13 °
Trefgraig, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind25 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+12 ° /12 °0.1
+12 °
Trefgraig, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind20 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Mon, 12+13 ° /15 °1.6
+15 °
Trefgraig, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind27 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Tue, 13+13 ° /16 °5.7
+16 °
Trefgraig, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind26 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point15°C
Wed, 14+13 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Trefgraig, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1029 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Thu, 15+14 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Trefgraig, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 14°C.
Pressure1028 mb
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Fri, 16+14 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Trefgraig, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 14°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind27 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Sat, 17+12 ° /16 °2
+16 °
Trefgraig, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind31 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Sun, 18+12 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Trefgraig, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind20 mph NE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Mon, 19+13 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Trefgraig, Monday, 19 October
Clear sky. High 15°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind8 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Tue, 20+13 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Trefgraig, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind5 mph E
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Wed, 21+13 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Trefgraig, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind7 mph NE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Thu, 22+12 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Trefgraig, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1028 mb
Wind7 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+10 ° /13 °4.5
+13 °
Trefgraig, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall4.5 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+17° (2011)
Coldest on record+5° (1964)
Sat, 24+10 ° /13 °5.7
+13 °
Trefgraig, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall5.7 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record+5° (1987)
Sun, 25+10 ° /13 °6.6
+13 °
Trefgraig, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall6.6 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+16° (2006)
Coldest on record+5° (2010)
Mon, 26+10 ° /13 °4.8
+13 °
Trefgraig, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+5° (2012)
Tue, 27+10 ° /13 °6.7
+13 °
Trefgraig, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall6.7 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+5° (2012)
Wed, 28+10 ° /12 °6.4
+12 °
Trefgraig, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall6.4 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+4° (2008)
Thu, 29+9 ° /12 °4.6
+12 °
Trefgraig, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record+3° (2018)
Fri, 30+9 ° /12 °5.5
+12 °
Trefgraig, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.5 mm
Chance of rain68%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Sat, 31+10 ° /12 °6.4
+12 °
Trefgraig, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall6.4 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record+4° (1988)
Sun, 01+9 ° /12 °7
+12 °
Trefgraig, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall7 mm
Chance of rain68%
Warmest on record+15° (2020)
Coldest on record+4° (1988)
Mon, 02+9 ° /12 °6.8
+12 °
Trefgraig, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall6.8 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record+4° (1986)
Tue, 03+9 ° /11 °6.8
+11 °
Trefgraig, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall6.8 mm
Chance of rain72%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record+2° (1980)
Wed, 04+9 ° /11 °4.8
+11 °
Trefgraig, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+14° (2010)
Coldest on record+4° (1988)
Thu, 05+9 ° /11 °5.4
+11 °
Trefgraig, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.4 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record+5° (1965)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Trefgraig are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Trefgraig since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.