The month ahead in Nasareth: daytime temperatures averaging +13.3° and +9.2° overnight — that is 0.1° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 12 days (around 76 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 50 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+16.4°), the coolest 20 October (+5.6°).
+13.3°/+9.2°
Average day / night
−0.1°
Below average
12 / 8
Wet days / normal
76 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+14.6°
+13.8°
+0.8°
17 October – 26 October
+11.2°
+12.7°
-1.5°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.8°
—
October records over 66 years
+21.7°10 October 2018All-time high
-1.4°30 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Caernarfon (12.8 km away).
Thu, 08+9 ° /14 °3.7
+14 °
Nasareth, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Fri, 09+12 ° /15 °12.2
+15 °
Nasareth, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point11°C
Sat, 10+11 ° /12 °5.1
+12 °
Nasareth, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind21 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility4.4 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+10 ° /12 °1.5
+12 °
Nasareth, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind7 mph W
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+11 ° /16 °5.3
+16 °
Nasareth, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind21 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /16 °5.8
+16 °
Nasareth, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind18 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point15°C
Wed, 14+8 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Nasareth, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind7 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 15+10 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Nasareth, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind9 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Fri, 16+10 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Nasareth, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind11 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Sat, 17+8 ° /12 °14.5
+12 °
Nasareth, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind14 mph S
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Sun, 18+9 ° /13 °12
+13 °
Nasareth, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind20 mph SE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Mon, 19+7 ° /11 °2.6
+11 °
Nasareth, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind8 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+6 ° /10 °0.4
+10 °
Nasareth, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Wed, 21+7 ° /11 °3.3
+11 °
Nasareth, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind21 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Thu, 22+7 ° /10 °4.5
+10 °
Nasareth, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+9 ° /13 °2.5
+13 °
Nasareth, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+18° (1996)
Coldest on record+3° (1993)
Sat, 24+9 ° /13 °3.8
+13 °
Nasareth, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record+3° (2002)
Sun, 25+9 ° /12 °4.1
+12 °
Nasareth, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+17° (2024)
Coldest on record+0° (2010)
Mon, 26+9 ° /12 °3.1
+12 °
Nasareth, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1997)
Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °4
+13 °
Nasareth, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Wed, 28+9 ° /12 °3.9
+12 °
Nasareth, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record+3° (2008)
Thu, 29+8 ° /12 °3.4
+12 °
Nasareth, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record+0° (2018)
Fri, 30+8 ° /12 °3.4
+12 °
Nasareth, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2009)
Coldest on record-1° (2018)
Sat, 31+9 ° /12 °3.9
+12 °
Nasareth, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1988)
Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °4.6
+12 °
Nasareth, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+15° (2015)
Coldest on record+1° (1988)
Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °4.7
+12 °
Nasareth, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.7 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1986)
Tue, 03+8 ° /11 °4.3
+11 °
Nasareth, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record+0° (2006)
Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °2.7
+11 °
Nasareth, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+15° (2010)
Coldest on record0° (1968)
Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °3.8
+11 °
Nasareth, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record+2° (1965)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Nasareth are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Nasareth since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.