As of 19:02 BST

Weather in Morfa Bychan

+11°

Morfa Bychan, Wednesday, 7 October, 19:02

Partly cloudy. Feels like 11°C. High 14°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity79%

Visibility5.1 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Morfa Bychan: daytime temperatures averaging +13.6° and +9.8° overnight — that is 0.3° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 14 days (around 112 mm), against a normal of 10 days and 81 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+16.1°), the coolest 18 October (+6.5°).

+13.6°/+9.8°

Average day / night

+0.3°

Above average

14 / 10

Wet days / normal

112 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.2°	+13.7°	+0.5°
17 October – 26 October	+12.5°	+12.5°	+0°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.5°	—

October records over 66 years

+23°1 October 2011All-time high

-1.2°25 October 2010All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Porthmadog (2.5 km away).

Thu, 08+9 ° /16 °

6.7

+16 °

Morfa Bychan, Thursday, 8 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Fri, 09+12 ° /15 °

13.3

+15 °

Morfa Bychan, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind16 mph NW

Humidity78%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point10°C

Sat, 10+11 ° /13 °

4.5

+13 °

Morfa Bychan, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity77%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Sun, 11+10 ° /12 °

0.4

+12 °

Morfa Bychan, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind7 mph W

Humidity75%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Mon, 12+11 ° /16 °

5.6

+16 °

Morfa Bychan, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1008 mb

Wind17 mph S

Humidity92%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Tue, 13+12 ° /16 °

8.8

+16 °

Morfa Bychan, Tuesday, 13 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind20 mph S

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Wed, 14+12 ° /15 °

1.1

+15 °

Morfa Bychan, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind15 mph S

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Thu, 15+10 ° /14 °

5.3

+14 °

Morfa Bychan, Thursday, 15 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind23 mph S

Humidity92%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Fri, 16+9 ° /12 °

+12 °

Morfa Bychan, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind9 mph S

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Sat, 17+7 ° /12 °

4.4

+12 °

Morfa Bychan, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind15 mph S

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sun, 18+7 ° /14 °

1.4

+14 °

Morfa Bychan, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind30 mph S

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Mon, 19+10 ° /14 °

26.2

+14 °

Morfa Bychan, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure995 mb

Wind28 mph SW

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Tue, 20+10 ° /11 °

16.3

+11 °

Morfa Bychan, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 10°C.

Pressure995 mb

Wind27 mph SW

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Wed, 21+8 ° /11 °

6.4

+11 °

Morfa Bychan, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 22+8 ° /13 °

9.6

+13 °

Morfa Bychan, Thursday, 22 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1005 mb

Wind18 mph S

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °

4.7

+12 °

Morfa Bychan, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.7 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+18° (1996)

Coldest on record+1° (1993)

Sat, 24+8 ° /12 °

6.7

+12 °

Morfa Bychan, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall6.7 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record+2° (2002)

Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °

7.3

+12 °

Morfa Bychan, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall7.3 mm

Chance of rain67%

Warmest on record+17° (2024)

Coldest on record-1° (2010)

Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °

5.2

+12 °

Morfa Bychan, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain67%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °

6.7

+12 °

Morfa Bychan, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall6.7 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (1962)

Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °

7.1

+12 °

Morfa Bychan, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall7.1 mm

Chance of rain67%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record+2° (2008)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

5.1

+12 °

Morfa Bychan, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (1997)

Fri, 30+8 ° /12 °

5.7

+12 °

Morfa Bychan, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.7 mm

Chance of rain68%

Warmest on record+16° (2009)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °

6.5

+12 °

Morfa Bychan, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall6.5 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Sun, 01+8 ° /11 °

+11 °

Morfa Bychan, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall8 mm

Chance of rain68%

Warmest on record+17° (2015)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °

7.6

+11 °

Morfa Bychan, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall7.6 mm

Chance of rain68%

Warmest on record+16° (2015)

Coldest on record+0° (1986)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

6.7

+11 °

Morfa Bychan, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6.7 mm

Chance of rain72%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °

4.7

+11 °

Morfa Bychan, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.7 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+14° (2015)

Coldest on record-1° (1968)

Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °

5.6

+11 °

Morfa Bychan, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.6 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+18° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (1965)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Morfa Bychan are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Morfa Bychan since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.