As of 11:28 BST

Weather in Carnach

+10°

Carnach, Wednesday, 7 October, 11:28

Mainly clear. Feels like 9°C. High 11°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind11 mph SW

Humidity73%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Carnach: daytime temperatures averaging +11.9° and +6.3° overnight — that is 0.3° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 29 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 44 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+15.1°), the coolest 21 October (+3.9°).

+11.9°/+6.3°

Average day / night

+0.3°

Above average

9 / 8

Wet days / normal

29 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+13.2°	+12.1°	+1.1°
17 October – 26 October	+9.8°	+10.9°	-1.1°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+10°	—

October records over 66 years

+19.9°1 October 2025All-time high

-0.7°5 October 1966All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Forres (10.3 km away).

Thu, 08+5 ° /12 °

5.6

+12 °

Carnach, Thursday, 8 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind7 mph W

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point4°C

Fri, 09+8 ° /13 °

1.8

+13 °

Carnach, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity72%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °

1.1

+12 °

Carnach, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure998 mb

Wind18 mph W

Humidity70%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /12 °

1.6

+12 °

Carnach, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind11 mph W

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Mon, 12+6 ° /15 °

0.2

+15 °

Carnach, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1005 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 13+7 ° /15 °

6.7

+15 °

Carnach, Tuesday, 13 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Wed, 14+5 ° /14 °

+14 °

Carnach, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind13 mph SW

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 15+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Carnach, Thursday, 15 October

Mainly clear. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind11 mph S

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Fri, 16+10 ° /14 °

+14 °

Carnach, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind8 mph SE

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Sat, 17+9 ° /13 °

1.1

+13 °

Carnach, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind16 mph SE

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Sun, 18+5 ° /11 °

+11 °

Carnach, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind15 mph SE

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Mon, 19+6 ° /11 °

4.2

+11 °

Carnach, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind14 mph SE

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Tue, 20+5 ° /6 °

4.5

+6 °

Carnach, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 6°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity89%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Wed, 21+4 ° /9 °

0.1

+9 °

Carnach, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind14 mph N

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Thu, 22+4 ° /9 °

+9 °

Carnach, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 9°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind6 mph W

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /11 °

2.3

+11 °

Carnach, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record+2° (2023)

Sat, 24+7 ° /11 °

2.2

+11 °

Carnach, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+16° (1995)

Coldest on record+2° (1964)

Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °

3.2

+11 °

Carnach, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+15° (1975)

Coldest on record+0° (1992)

Mon, 26+7 ° /11 °

3.2

+11 °

Carnach, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+15° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2012)

Tue, 27+7 ° /11 °

2.7

+11 °

Carnach, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record+2° (1961)

Wed, 28+7 ° /10 °

3.4

+10 °

Carnach, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (2008)

Thu, 29+6 ° /10 °

2.6

+10 °

Carnach, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+15° (2022)

Coldest on record+2° (2018)

Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °

3.4

+11 °

Carnach, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1980)

Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °

3.2

+11 °

Carnach, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (2019)

Sun, 01+6 ° /10 °

2.7

+10 °

Carnach, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+15° (2024)

Coldest on record+1° (2012)

Mon, 02+6 ° /10 °

2.8

+10 °

Carnach, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+16° (1971)

Coldest on record+1° (1986)

Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °

3.1

+10 °

Carnach, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+16° (1979)

Coldest on record+0° (1980)

Wed, 04+5 ° /9 °

2.6

+9 °

Carnach, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high9°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1968)

Thu, 05+5 ° /9 °

2.7

+9 °

Carnach, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high9°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (2003)

Coldest on record-1° (1968)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Carnach are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Carnach since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.