The month ahead in Spey Bay: daytime temperatures averaging +12.8° and +8.4° overnight — that is 1.1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 25 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 42 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+17°), the coolest 11 October (+6.1°).
+12.8°/+8.4°
Average day / night
+1.1°
Above average
9 / 8
Wet days / normal
25 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+13.5°
+12°
+1.5°
17 October – 26 October
+11.6°
+11°
+0.6°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.2°
—
October records over 66 years
+19.9°10 October 2023All-time high
+0.4°30 October 2019All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Buckie (7.1 km away).
Thu, 08+6 ° /12 °8.3
+12 °
Spey Bay, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind7 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+9 ° /13 °2.2
+13 °
Spey Bay, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure998 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °1.2
+12 °
Spey Bay, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure997 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °3.5
+12 °
Spey Bay, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+7 ° /14 °2.1
+14 °
Spey Bay, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Tue, 13+11 ° /17 °2.8
+17 °
Spey Bay, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Wed, 14+11 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Spey Bay, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind22 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Thu, 15+10 ° /15 °0.6
+15 °
Spey Bay, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind22 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Fri, 16+10 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Spey Bay, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Sat, 17+9 ° /12 °1.3
+12 °
Spey Bay, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1003 mb
Wind20 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sun, 18+8 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Spey Bay, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind29 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point1°C
Mon, 19+10 ° /13 °1.9
+13 °
Spey Bay, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Pressure982 mb
Wind30 mph SE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Tue, 20+9 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Spey Bay, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 11°C, low 9°C.
Pressure989 mb
Wind25 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Wed, 21+7 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Spey Bay, Wednesday, 21 October
Mainly clear. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure996 mb
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Thu, 22+6 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Spey Bay, Thursday, 22 October
Mainly clear. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind23 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point1°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+8 ° /11 °2.3
+11 °
Spey Bay, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (1996)
Coldest on record+2° (2023)
Sat, 24+8 ° /11 °2.5
+11 °
Spey Bay, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+16° (1995)
Coldest on record+3° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °3.3
+11 °
Spey Bay, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.3 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+15° (1975)
Coldest on record+2° (1992)
Mon, 26+8 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Spey Bay, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+15° (2021)
Coldest on record+3° (1962)
Tue, 27+7 ° /11 °2.9
+11 °
Spey Bay, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+3° (2025)
Wed, 28+8 ° /11 °3.5
+11 °
Spey Bay, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (2008)
Thu, 29+7 ° /10 °2.6
+10 °
Spey Bay, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+15° (1984)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Fri, 30+7 ° /11 °2.8
+11 °
Spey Bay, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+0° (2019)
Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Spey Bay, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record+1° (2018)
Sun, 01+7 ° /10 °2.5
+10 °
Spey Bay, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+15° (2024)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Mon, 02+7 ° /10 °3
+10 °
Spey Bay, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+15° (1971)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Tue, 03+7 ° /10 °3.2
+10 °
Spey Bay, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+3° (1985)
Wed, 04+6 ° /10 °2.8
+10 °
Spey Bay, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record+1° (1968)
Thu, 05+6 ° /9 °2.7
+9 °
Spey Bay, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+14° (2003)
Coldest on record+2° (1985)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Spey Bay are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Spey Bay since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.