Water Garth Nook, Thursday, 8 October, 11:00
Overcast. Feels like 11°C. High 13°C, low 9°C.
The month ahead in Water Garth Nook: daytime temperatures averaging +13.8° and +11.2° overnight — that is 1.3° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 68 mm), against a normal of 9 days and 75 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+16°), the coolest 17 October (+7.3°).
| Period | Forecast (day) | Average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 October – 17 October | +13.6° | +12.9° | +0.7° |
| 18 October – 27 October | +14.2° | +11.9° | +2.3° |
| 28 October – 6 November | near average | +10.8° | — |
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Ulverston (14.9 km away).
Water Garth Nook, Friday, 9 October
Heavy rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Water Garth Nook, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 12°C.
Water Garth Nook, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 11°C.
Water Garth Nook, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Water Garth Nook, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 14°C.
Water Garth Nook, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Water Garth Nook, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 11°C.
Water Garth Nook, Friday, 16 October
Clear sky. High 11°C, low 9°C.
Water Garth Nook, Saturday, 17 October
Clear sky. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Water Garth Nook, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Water Garth Nook, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 13°C.
Water Garth Nook, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Water Garth Nook, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Water Garth Nook, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 12°C.
Water Garth Nook, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 13°C.
Water Garth Nook, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Water Garth Nook, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Water Garth Nook, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Water Garth Nook, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Water Garth Nook, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Water Garth Nook, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Water Garth Nook, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Water Garth Nook, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Water Garth Nook, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Water Garth Nook, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Water Garth Nook, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Water Garth Nook, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Water Garth Nook, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Water Garth Nook, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Water Garth Nook are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
These are real historical extremes recorded in Water Garth Nook since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.