The month ahead in Seathwaite: daytime temperatures averaging +9.9° and +5.5° overnight — that is 2.8° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 12 days (around 144 mm), against a normal of 9 days and 72 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+13.9°), the coolest 18 October (+2.3°).
+9.9°/+5.5°
Average day / night
−2.8°
Below average
12 / 9
Wet days / normal
144 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+11.1°
+13.1°
-2°
17 October – 26 October
+7.9°
+11.9°
-4°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.8°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.8°1 October 1985All-time high
-1.9°18 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Keswick (11.8 km away).
Thu, 08+4 ° /10 °8.1
+10 °
Seathwaite, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 10°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point4°C
Fri, 09+7 ° /12 °38
+12 °
Seathwaite, Friday, 9 October
Heavy rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Sat, 10+6 ° /8 °19
+8 °
Seathwaite, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 8°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity93%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /10 °0
+10 °
Seathwaite, Sunday, 11 October
Clear sky. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /14 °5.6
+14 °
Seathwaite, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Tue, 13+8 ° /14 °14.4
+14 °
Seathwaite, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind17 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Wed, 14+8 ° /12 °0.6
+12 °
Seathwaite, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1027 mb
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Thu, 15+7 ° /10 °7
+10 °
Seathwaite, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Fri, 16+5 ° /9 °0.1
+9 °
Seathwaite, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Sat, 17+4 ° /7 °5.3
+7 °
Seathwaite, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 7°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind10 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sun, 18+2 ° /9 °0.2
+9 °
Seathwaite, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 2°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind16 mph SE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Mon, 19+7 ° /10 °24
+10 °
Seathwaite, Monday, 19 October
Heavy rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure992 mb
Wind24 mph SW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Tue, 20+5 ° /7 °11.8
+7 °
Seathwaite, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 7°C, low 5°C.
Pressure994 mb
Wind21 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Wed, 21+4 ° /7 °4.6
+7 °
Seathwaite, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 7°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1003 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Thu, 22+3 ° /7 °1.5
+7 °
Seathwaite, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 7°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind11 mph SE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °4.8
+12 °
Seathwaite, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+17° (1996)
Coldest on record+1° (2003)
Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °5.9
+12 °
Seathwaite, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.9 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °6.4
+12 °
Seathwaite, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6.4 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+17° (2024)
Coldest on record+1° (2003)
Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °4.5
+12 °
Seathwaite, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.5 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (2003)
Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °6.4
+12 °
Seathwaite, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall6.4 mm
Chance of rain72%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1962)
Wed, 28+7 ° /11 °7.1
+11 °
Seathwaite, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall7.1 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °4.9
+11 °
Seathwaite, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.9 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Fri, 30+7 ° /11 °5.2
+11 °
Seathwaite, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °5.5
+11 °
Seathwaite, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.5 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1992)
Sun, 01+7 ° /11 °6.9
+11 °
Seathwaite, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6.9 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (2008)
Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °6.1
+11 °
Seathwaite, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall6.1 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+15° (1996)
Coldest on record0° (1985)
Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °7
+10 °
Seathwaite, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall7 mm
Chance of rain72%
Warmest on record+16° (2011)
Coldest on record-1° (1966)
Wed, 04+6 ° /10 °4.7
+10 °
Seathwaite, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.7 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+14° (1994)
Coldest on record-1° (1968)
Thu, 05+6 ° /10 °4.3
+10 °
Seathwaite, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (1984)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Seathwaite are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Seathwaite since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.