The month ahead in Twyn Cynhordy: daytime temperatures averaging +11.7° and +6.3° overnight — that is 0.4° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 53 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 55 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+16.3°), the coolest 17 October (+0.6°).
+11.7°/+6.3°
Average day / night
−0.4°
Below average
9 / 7
Wet days / normal
53 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
8 October – 17 October
+12.2°
+12.5°
-0.3°
18 October – 27 October
+10.9°
+11.3°
-0.4°
28 October – 6 November
near average
+10.1°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.3°1 October 2011All-time high
-3.7°16 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Brynmawr (0.4 km away).
Fri, 09+9 ° /14 °4.9
+14 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity97%
Visibility2.2 mi
Dew point13°C
Sat, 10+7 ° /10 °0.1
+10 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Sun, 11+5 ° /11 °0.1
+11 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind7 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+8 ° /14 °4.8
+14 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind11 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility3901 ft
Dew point14°C
Tue, 13+10 ° /16 °2.9
+16 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point15°C
Wed, 14+8 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Thu, 15+5 ° /10 °16.9
+10 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 10°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind20 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Fri, 16+3 ° /10 °0
+10 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Friday, 16 October
Clear sky. High 10°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Sat, 17+1 ° /9 °0
+9 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Saturday, 17 October
Clear sky. High 9°C, low 1°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind9 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point0°C
Sun, 18+4 ° /9 °1.9
+9 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind8 mph N
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Mon, 19+7 ° /11 °8.4
+11 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind24 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Tue, 20+6 ° /10 °5.2
+10 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind16 mph E
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Wed, 21+9 ° /11 °6.6
+11 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind8 mph E
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Thu, 22+7 ° /13 °0.1
+13 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind7 mph N
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Fri, 23+7 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind7 mph N
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 24+6 ° /11 °4.3
+11 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+15° (1995)
Coldest on record-2° (1964)
Sun, 25+6 ° /11 °3.9
+11 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+15° (2013)
Coldest on record-3° (2010)
Mon, 26+6 ° /11 °3.3
+11 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.3 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1997)
Tue, 27+6 ° /11 °3.7
+11 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.7 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-3° (2003)
Wed, 28+6 ° /11 °4.4
+11 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (2012)
Thu, 29+5 ° /10 °3.7
+10 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.7 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+16° (2022)
Coldest on record-4° (2008)
Fri, 30+5 ° /11 °4.1
+11 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+15° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (1983)
Sat, 31+6 ° /11 °5.2
+11 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record-3° (1992)
Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °3.7
+11 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.7 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+15° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Mon, 02+5 ° /10 °5
+10 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record-3° (2006)
Tue, 03+5 ° /10 °3.1
+10 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+14° (1979)
Coldest on record-4° (2006)
Wed, 04+4 ° /9 °2.7
+9 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low4°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+14° (1978)
Coldest on record-3° (2006)
Thu, 05+4 ° /9 °3.1
+9 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low4°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+14° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1965)
Fri, 06+4 ° /9 °2.3
+9 °
Twyn Cynhordy, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low4°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+15° (2015)
Coldest on record-1° (1995)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Twyn Cynhordy are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Twyn Cynhordy since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.