The month ahead in Brynithel: daytime temperatures averaging +12.8° and +7.1° overnight — that is 0.8° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 36 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 55 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+16°), the coolest 18 October (+3.1°).
+12.8°/+7.1°
Average day / night
−0.8°
Below average
7 / 7
Wet days / normal
36 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+13.4°
+14°
-0.6°
17 October – 26 October
+11.7°
+12.8°
-1°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.7°
—
October records over 66 years
+24°1 October 2011All-time high
-2.4°16 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Abercarn (6.2 km away).
Thu, 08+7 ° /13 °0.5
+13 °
Brynithel, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+9 ° /15 °3.3
+15 °
Brynithel, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity98%
Visibility2.8 mi
Dew point14°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Brynithel, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Brynithel, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind6 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+8 ° /15 °3.5
+15 °
Brynithel, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind13 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Tue, 13+8 ° /16 °4.6
+16 °
Brynithel, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Wed, 14+7 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Brynithel, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1026 mb
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Thu, 15+6 ° /13 °1.1
+13 °
Brynithel, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Fri, 16+6 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Brynithel, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind6 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point1°C
Sat, 17+7 ° /12 °15.7
+12 °
Brynithel, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind21 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sun, 18+3 ° /10 °0
+10 °
Brynithel, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 10°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1028 mb
Wind11 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point0°C
Mon, 19+10 ° /14 °2.2
+14 °
Brynithel, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind22 mph SW
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Tue, 20+11 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Brynithel, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind21 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Wed, 21+6 ° /11 °0.1
+11 °
Brynithel, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind22 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Thu, 22+4 ° /9 °0.9
+9 °
Brynithel, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 4°C.
Pressure996 mb
Wind23 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °3.3
+13 °
Brynithel, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.3 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+17° (2011)
Coldest on record+1° (1981)
Sat, 24+8 ° /13 °4.4
+13 °
Brynithel, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record+0° (1987)
Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °3.8
+12 °
Brynithel, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record-2° (2010)
Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °3.1
+13 °
Brynithel, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1997)
Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °3.7
+13 °
Brynithel, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.7 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °4.3
+12 °
Brynithel, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record+0° (2012)
Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °3.8
+12 °
Brynithel, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record-2° (2008)
Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °4.2
+12 °
Brynithel, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.2 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-1° (1983)
Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °5.2
+12 °
Brynithel, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (1992)
Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °3.9
+12 °
Brynithel, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1988)
Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °5
+11 °
Brynithel, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2006)
Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °3.1
+11 °
Brynithel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record-2° (2006)
Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °2.6
+11 °
Brynithel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+15° (1978)
Coldest on record-3° (2006)
Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °3.1
+11 °
Brynithel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+15° (1978)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Brynithel are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Brynithel since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.