As of 11:54 BST

Weather in Thwaite Head

+12°

Thwaite Head, Wednesday, 7 October, 11:54

Mainly clear. Feels like 11°C. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind8 mph NW

Humidity75%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Thwaite Head: daytime temperatures averaging +11.4° and +6.1° overnight — that is 0.9° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 124 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 65 mm. The warmest day should be 16 October (+14.8°), the coolest 21 October (+2.1°).

+11.4°/+6.1°

Average day / night

−0.9°

Below average

10 / 8

Wet days / normal

124 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+12.5°	+12.6°	-0.2°
17 October – 26 October	+9.5°	+11.4°	-1.8°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+10.3°	—

October records over 66 years

+22.5°1 October 1985All-time high

-2.6°18 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Windermere (10.2 km away).

Thu, 08+6 ° /12 °

10.9

+12 °

Thwaite Head, Thursday, 8 October

Heavy rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind6 mph NW

Humidity66%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+8 ° /13 °

36.7

+13 °

Thwaite Head, Friday, 9 October

Heavy rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity81%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point10°C

Sat, 10+7 ° /9 °

11.2

+9 °

Thwaite Head, Saturday, 10 October

Rain. High 9°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity93%

Visibility4.0 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °

+12 °

Thwaite Head, Sunday, 11 October

Mainly clear. High 12°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Mon, 12+6 ° /13 °

7.8

+13 °

Thwaite Head, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind11 mph S

Humidity95%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 13+8 ° /13 °

4.3

+13 °

Thwaite Head, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Wed, 14+5 ° /13 °

+13 °

Thwaite Head, Wednesday, 14 October

Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind5 mph N

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 15+6 ° /14 °

+14 °

Thwaite Head, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind8 mph S

Humidity89%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 16+9 ° /15 °

+15 °

Thwaite Head, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind10 mph SE

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Sat, 17+8 ° /10 °

14.9

+10 °

Thwaite Head, Saturday, 17 October

Rain. High 10°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind12 mph SW

Humidity94%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Sun, 18+6 ° /11 °

12.6

+11 °

Thwaite Head, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind18 mph SE

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Mon, 19+7 ° /11 °

4.3

+11 °

Thwaite Head, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind4 mph N

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Tue, 20+4 ° /8 °

14.5

+8 °

Thwaite Head, Tuesday, 20 October

Rain. High 8°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind5 mph NW

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Wed, 21+2 ° /8 °

+8 °

Thwaite Head, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 8°C, low 2°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point1°C

Thu, 22+3 ° /8 °

+8 °

Thwaite Head, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 8°C, low 3°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind3 mph NW

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /11 °

4.2

+11 °

Thwaite Head, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record+0° (1993)

Sat, 24+7 ° /11 °

5.3

+11 °

Thwaite Head, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.3 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+16° (1995)

Coldest on record-2° (1964)

Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Thwaite Head, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+15° (2024)

Coldest on record0° (1993)

Mon, 26+7 ° /11 °

3.9

+11 °

Thwaite Head, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1981)

Tue, 27+7 ° /11 °

6.1

+11 °

Thwaite Head, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6.1 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /11 °

5.8

+11 °

Thwaite Head, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.8 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Thu, 29+6 ° /10 °

4.2

+10 °

Thwaite Head, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °

4.6

+11 °

Thwaite Head, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.6 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °

5.4

+11 °

Thwaite Head, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.4 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Sun, 01+6 ° /10 °

6.7

+10 °

Thwaite Head, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall6.7 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1985)

Mon, 02+6 ° /10 °

5.4

+10 °

Thwaite Head, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall5.4 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+14° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (1986)

Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °

6.3

+10 °

Thwaite Head, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall6.3 mm

Chance of rain70%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-1° (1966)

Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °

4.3

+10 °

Thwaite Head, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall4.3 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+14° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1968)

Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °

4.1

+10 °

Thwaite Head, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+15° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (2012)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Thwaite Head are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Thwaite Head since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.