The month ahead in Ulcat Row: daytime temperatures averaging +12.5° and +7.2° overnight — that is 0.2° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 6 days (around 41 mm), against a normal of 9 days and 72 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+15.4°), the coolest 8 October (+4.6°).
+12.5°/+7.2°
Average day / night
−0.2°
Below average
6 / 9
Wet days / normal
41 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+11.8°
+13.1°
-1.3°
17 October – 26 October
+13.7°
+11.9°
+1.8°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.8°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.8°1 October 1985All-time high
-1.9°18 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Keswick (14 km away).
Thu, 08+5 ° /10 °3.7
+10 °
Ulcat Row, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 10°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind5 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point4°C
Fri, 09+7 ° /13 °19.8
+13 °
Ulcat Row, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity83%
Visibility3.1 mi
Dew point8°C
Sat, 10+6 ° /8 °7.7
+8 °
Ulcat Row, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility5.1 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /10 °0
+10 °
Ulcat Row, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind11 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Mon, 12+5 ° /11 °1.5
+11 °
Ulcat Row, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Tue, 13+7 ° /15 °2.8
+15 °
Ulcat Row, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Wed, 14+6 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Ulcat Row, Wednesday, 14 October
Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1027 mb
Wind7 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Thu, 15+10 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Ulcat Row, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1026 mb
Wind9 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Fri, 16+9 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Ulcat Row, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind14 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sat, 17+10 ° /14 °0.2
+14 °
Ulcat Row, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind13 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Sun, 18+9 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Ulcat Row, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind5 mph N
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Mon, 19+7 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Ulcat Row, Monday, 19 October
Clear sky. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind6 mph NE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Tue, 20+6 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Ulcat Row, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1032 mb
Wind2 mph NE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Wed, 21+7 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Ulcat Row, Wednesday, 21 October
Mainly clear. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind4 mph N
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Thu, 22+7 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Ulcat Row, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind3 mph SE
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °4.8
+12 °
Ulcat Row, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+17° (1996)
Coldest on record+1° (2003)
Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °5.9
+12 °
Ulcat Row, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.9 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °6.4
+12 °
Ulcat Row, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6.4 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+17° (2024)
Coldest on record+1° (2003)
Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °4.5
+12 °
Ulcat Row, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.5 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (2003)
Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °6.4
+12 °
Ulcat Row, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall6.4 mm
Chance of rain72%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1962)
Wed, 28+7 ° /11 °7.1
+11 °
Ulcat Row, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall7.1 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °4.9
+11 °
Ulcat Row, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.9 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Fri, 30+7 ° /11 °5.2
+11 °
Ulcat Row, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °5.5
+11 °
Ulcat Row, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.5 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1992)
Sun, 01+7 ° /11 °6.9
+11 °
Ulcat Row, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6.9 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (2008)
Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °6.1
+11 °
Ulcat Row, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall6.1 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+15° (1996)
Coldest on record0° (1985)
Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °7
+10 °
Ulcat Row, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall7 mm
Chance of rain72%
Warmest on record+16° (2011)
Coldest on record-1° (1966)
Wed, 04+6 ° /10 °4.7
+10 °
Ulcat Row, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.7 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+14° (1994)
Coldest on record-1° (1968)
Thu, 05+6 ° /10 °4.3
+10 °
Ulcat Row, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (1984)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Ulcat Row are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Ulcat Row since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.