As of 06:13 BST

Weather in Thorley Street

+7°

Thorley Street, Thursday, 8 October, 06:13

Clear sky. Feels like 4°C. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind8 mph NW

Humidity90%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Thorley Street: daytime temperatures averaging +15.3° and +10° overnight — that is 1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 5 days (around 26 mm), against a normal of 5 days and 30 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+19.9°), the coolest 12 October (+6.6°).

+15.3°/+10°

Average day / night

+1°

Above average

5 / 5

Wet days / normal

26 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+15.5°	+14.8°	+0.7°
18 October – 27 October	+15°	+13.5°	+1.5°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+12°	—

October records over 66 years

+25.9°2 October 2011All-time high

-2.1°29 October 2008All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Sawbridgeworth (4.5 km away).

Fri, 09+10 ° /18 °

3.8

+18 °

Thorley Street, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind17 mph SW

Humidity77%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /14 °

+14 °

Thorley Street, Saturday, 10 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity56%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Thorley Street, Sunday, 11 October

Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind9 mph W

Humidity60%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /17 °

3.4

+17 °

Thorley Street, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 13+15 ° /20 °

+20 °

Thorley Street, Tuesday, 13 October

Overcast. High 20°C, low 15°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind15 mph SW

Humidity80%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /18 °

+18 °

Thorley Street, Wednesday, 14 October

Partly cloudy. High 18°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind6 mph S

Humidity48%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Thu, 15+9 ° /16 °

+16 °

Thorley Street, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind19 mph N

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Fri, 16+11 ° /12 °

1.8

+12 °

Thorley Street, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind21 mph N

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Sat, 17+10 ° /14 °

0.5

+14 °

Thorley Street, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind15 mph N

Humidity85%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Sun, 18+11 ° /13 °

2.5

+13 °

Thorley Street, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Mon, 19+11 ° /14 °

14.1

+14 °

Thorley Street, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind9 mph S

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Tue, 20+12 ° /16 °

+16 °

Thorley Street, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind11 mph SE

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Wed, 21+12 ° /16 °

+16 °

Thorley Street, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind13 mph SE

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Thu, 22+12 ° /16 °

+16 °

Thorley Street, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind15 mph E

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Fri, 23+10 ° /14 °

+14 °

Thorley Street, Friday, 23 October

Clear sky. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind16 mph E

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+7 ° /14 °

1.7

+14 °

Thorley Street, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+18° (1995)

Coldest on record+0° (1964)

Sun, 25+8 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Thorley Street, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+18° (2013)

Coldest on record+0° (1997)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

1.1

+13 °

Thorley Street, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.1 mm

Chance of rain25%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2010)

Tue, 27+7 ° /13 °

1.4

+13 °

Thorley Street, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °

2.1

+13 °

Thorley Street, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (2012)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

1.3

+12 °

Thorley Street, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /13 °

1.2

+13 °

Thorley Street, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.2 mm

Chance of rain25%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1983)

Sat, 31+7 ° /13 °

1.9

+13 °

Thorley Street, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+20° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (1997)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

2.1

+12 °

Thorley Street, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (1999)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

2.7

+12 °

Thorley Street, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1985)

Tue, 03+6 ° /12 °

1.7

+12 °

Thorley Street, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.3

+11 °

Thorley Street, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+16° (2010)

Coldest on record-1° (1966)

Thu, 05+5 ° /11 °

1.2

+11 °

Thorley Street, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.2 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record-3° (1988)

Fri, 06+6 ° /11 °

2.1

+11 °

Thorley Street, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+16° (2015)

Coldest on record0° (1995)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Thorley Street are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Thorley Street since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.