Cold Christmas, Wednesday, 7 October, 12:24
Light rain. Feels like 12°C. High 14°C, low 10°C.
The month ahead in Cold Christmas: daytime temperatures averaging +14.8° and +9.1° overnight — that is 0.2° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 34 mm), against a normal of 5 days and 31 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+18.3°), the coolest 8 October (+6.5°).
| Period | Forecast (day) | Average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 October – 16 October | +15.9° | +15° | +0.9° |
| 17 October – 26 October | +12.9° | +13.6° | -0.7° |
| 27 October – 5 November | near average | +12.3° | — |
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Ware (2.6 km away).
Cold Christmas, Thursday, 8 October
Clear sky. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Cold Christmas, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 10°C.
Cold Christmas, Saturday, 10 October
Mainly clear. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Cold Christmas, Sunday, 11 October
Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Cold Christmas, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 7°C.
Cold Christmas, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 13°C.
Cold Christmas, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Cold Christmas, Thursday, 15 October
Clear sky. High 18°C, low 12°C.
Cold Christmas, Friday, 16 October
Clear sky. High 17°C, low 10°C.
Cold Christmas, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 10°C.
Cold Christmas, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Cold Christmas, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Cold Christmas, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Cold Christmas, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 7°C.
Cold Christmas, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Cold Christmas, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Cold Christmas, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Cold Christmas, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Cold Christmas, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Cold Christmas, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Cold Christmas, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Cold Christmas, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Cold Christmas, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Cold Christmas, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Cold Christmas, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Cold Christmas, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Cold Christmas, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Cold Christmas, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Cold Christmas, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Cold Christmas are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
These are real historical extremes recorded in Cold Christmas since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.