As of 04:27 BST

Weather in Sarn

+15°

Sarn, Wednesday, 7 October, 04:27

Overcast. Feels like 15°C. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind5 mph N

Humidity95%

Visibility2.1 mi

Dew point14°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Sarn: daytime temperatures averaging +15.2° and +9.6° overnight — that is 1.3° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 4 days (around 24 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 58 mm. The warmest day should be 17 October (+18.8°), the coolest 22 October (+6.8°).

+15.2°/+9.6°

Average day / night

+1.3°

Above average

4 / 8

Wet days / normal

24 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.6°	+14.4°	+0.2°
17 October – 26 October	+16.4°	+13.2°	+3.2°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12.2°	—

October records over 66 years

+22.8°1 October 2011All-time high

-0.5°30 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Pencoed (6.1 km away).

Thu, 08+9 ° /14 °

0.3

+14 °

Sarn, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Fri, 09+11 ° /15 °

10.5

+15 °

Sarn, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind25 mph W

Humidity95%

Visibility2.0 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+10 ° /13 °

+13 °

Sarn, Saturday, 10 October

Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity67%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Sarn, Sunday, 11 October

Clear sky. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind8 mph NW

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Mon, 12+9 ° /15 °

6.1

+15 °

Sarn, Monday, 12 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind16 mph SE

Humidity77%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Tue, 13+14 ° /17 °

3.8

+17 °

Sarn, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind12 mph W

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+9 ° /15 °

+15 °

Sarn, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Thu, 15+11 ° /15 °

+15 °

Sarn, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind7 mph SW

Humidity77%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Fri, 16+10 ° /16 °

+16 °

Sarn, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind7 mph SE

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sat, 17+11 ° /19 °

+19 °

Sarn, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 19°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind9 mph E

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Sun, 18+12 ° /18 °

+18 °

Sarn, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind13 mph E

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /17 °

+17 °

Sarn, Monday, 19 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind7 mph NE

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Tue, 20+8 ° /16 °

+16 °

Sarn, Tuesday, 20 October

Partly cloudy. High 16°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind9 mph E

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Wed, 21+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Sarn, Wednesday, 21 October

Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind8 mph E

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 22+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Sarn, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1028 mb

Wind15 mph E

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+9 ° /13 °

3.4

+13 °

Sarn, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record+3° (1987)

Sat, 24+9 ° /13 °

5.1

+13 °

Sarn, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record+1° (1987)

Sun, 25+9 ° /13 °

3.9

+13 °

Sarn, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record0° (2010)

Mon, 26+9 ° /13 °

3.3

+13 °

Sarn, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+4° (2003)

Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °

4.5

+13 °

Sarn, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2003)

Wed, 28+9 ° /13 °

4.9

+13 °

Sarn, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+2° (2018)

Thu, 29+8 ° /12 °

4.2

+12 °

Sarn, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record+0° (2018)

Fri, 30+8 ° /13 °

4.5

+13 °

Sarn, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+17° (2015)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Sat, 31+9 ° /13 °

5.5

+13 °

Sarn, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (1992)

Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °

4.2

+12 °

Sarn, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+16° (2020)

Coldest on record+2° (1988)

Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °

5.5

+12 °

Sarn, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (2006)

Tue, 03+8 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Sarn, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Sarn, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+15° (1973)

Coldest on record0° (2006)

Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Sarn, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record+1° (2021)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Sarn are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Sarn since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.