As of 10:12 BST

Weather in Buarth Capel

+11°

Buarth Capel, Wednesday, 7 October, 10:12

Overcast. Feels like 10°C. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind2 mph NW

Humidity88%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Buarth Capel: daytime temperatures averaging +14.9° and +7.7° overnight — that is 1.1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 4 days (around 31 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 57 mm. The warmest day should be 17 October (+18.6°), the coolest 22 October (+4.6°).

+14.9°/+7.7°

Average day / night

+1.1°

Above average

4 / 7

Wet days / normal

31 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.3°	+14.2°	+0.2°
17 October – 26 October	+15.8°	+12.9°	+2.8°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.9°	—

October records over 66 years

+23.6°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.1°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Abercynon (3 km away).

Thu, 08+8 ° /14 °

+14 °

Buarth Capel, Thursday, 8 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity63%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+9 ° /14 °

13.6

+14 °

Buarth Capel, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind21 mph W

Humidity98%

Visibility1.6 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Buarth Capel, Saturday, 10 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity64%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °

+12 °

Buarth Capel, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind8 mph NW

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Mon, 12+8 ° /15 °

7.3

+15 °

Buarth Capel, Monday, 12 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 13+13 ° /17 °

5.5

+17 °

Buarth Capel, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Wed, 14+6 ° /15 °

+15 °

Buarth Capel, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind6 mph NW

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 15+8 ° /16 °

+16 °

Buarth Capel, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind8 mph SW

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 16+7 ° /16 °

+16 °

Buarth Capel, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind11 mph SW

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Sat, 17+9 ° /19 °

+19 °

Buarth Capel, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 19°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind8 mph S

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sun, 18+9 ° /17 °

+17 °

Buarth Capel, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind11 mph E

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+7 ° /16 °

+16 °

Buarth Capel, Monday, 19 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind7 mph NE

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Tue, 20+6 ° /15 °

+15 °

Buarth Capel, Tuesday, 20 October

Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind7 mph E

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Wed, 21+6 ° /14 °

+14 °

Buarth Capel, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind7 mph E

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 22+5 ° /13 °

+13 °

Buarth Capel, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1028 mb

Wind13 mph E

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /13 °

3.2

+13 °

Buarth Capel, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2011)

Coldest on record+2° (1981)

Sat, 24+8 ° /13 °

4.6

+13 °

Buarth Capel, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.6 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+16° (1995)

Coldest on record+0° (1987)

Sun, 25+8 ° /13 °

4.2

+13 °

Buarth Capel, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record-1° (2010)

Mon, 26+8 ° /13 °

3.2

+13 °

Buarth Capel, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °

3.9

+13 °

Buarth Capel, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+8 ° /13 °

4.9

+13 °

Buarth Capel, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (2012)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Buarth Capel, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

4.4

+12 °

Buarth Capel, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (2001)

Coldest on record0° (1983)

Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °

5.5

+12 °

Buarth Capel, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1992)

Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Buarth Capel, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

5.2

+12 °

Buarth Capel, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

3.2

+11 °

Buarth Capel, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.7

+11 °

Buarth Capel, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+15° (1973)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

3.1

+11 °

Buarth Capel, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record+0° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Buarth Capel are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Buarth Capel since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.