As of 09:18 BST

Weather in Nelson

+11°

Nelson, Wednesday, 7 October, 09:18

Overcast. Feels like 11°C. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind2 mph SW

Humidity91%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point10°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Nelson: daytime temperatures averaging +15.3° and +8.2° overnight — that is 1.8° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 4 days (around 19 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 57 mm. The warmest day should be 17 October (+19°), the coolest 22 October (+5.3°).

+15.3°/+8.2°

Average day / night

+1.8°

Above average

4 / 7

Wet days / normal

19 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.7°	+13.9°	+0.8°
17 October – 26 October	+16.2°	+12.6°	+3.6°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.6°	—

October records over 66 years

+23.5°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.3°16 October 1993All-time low

Thu, 08+8 ° /14 °

0.1

+14 °

Nelson, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Fri, 09+9 ° /14 °

8.5

+14 °

Nelson, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind20 mph W

Humidity98%

Visibility1.8 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Nelson, Saturday, 10 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind15 mph W

Humidity64%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °

+12 °

Nelson, Sunday, 11 October

Clear sky. High 12°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /14 °

3.4

+14 °

Nelson, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity77%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Tue, 13+14 ° /18 °

+18 °

Nelson, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind12 mph SW

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+7 ° /16 °

+16 °

Nelson, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind6 mph NW

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 15+9 ° /17 °

+17 °

Nelson, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind8 mph SW

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 16+8 ° /17 °

+17 °

Nelson, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind12 mph SW

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Sat, 17+10 ° /19 °

+19 °

Nelson, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 19°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind9 mph S

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Sun, 18+10 ° /18 °

+18 °

Nelson, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind12 mph NE

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+7 ° /17 °

+17 °

Nelson, Monday, 19 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind8 mph NE

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Tue, 20+7 ° /16 °

+16 °

Nelson, Tuesday, 20 October

Mainly clear. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind8 mph E

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Wed, 21+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Nelson, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind8 mph E

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 22+5 ° /14 °

+14 °

Nelson, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1028 mb

Wind13 mph E

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /13 °

3.2

+13 °

Nelson, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2011)

Coldest on record+1° (1981)

Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °

4.6

+12 °

Nelson, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.6 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+16° (1995)

Coldest on record0° (1987)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

4.2

+12 °

Nelson, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record-2° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

3.2

+13 °

Nelson, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (1997)

Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Nelson, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2003)

Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °

4.9

+12 °

Nelson, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (2012)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Nelson, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+16° (1984)

Coldest on record-2° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

4.4

+12 °

Nelson, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (2001)

Coldest on record-1° (1983)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

5.5

+12 °

Nelson, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1992)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Nelson, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °

5.2

+11 °

Nelson, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

3.2

+11 °

Nelson, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (1979)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.7

+11 °

Nelson, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

3.1

+11 °

Nelson, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Nelson are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Nelson since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.