Leathern Bottle, Thursday, 8 October, 02:47
Mainly clear. Feels like 8°C. High 15°C, low 8°C.
The month ahead in Leathern Bottle: daytime temperatures averaging +15.7° and +9.7° overnight — that is 1.8° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 41 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 36 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+19.1°), the coolest 14 October (+7.5°).
| Period | Forecast (day) | Average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 October – 17 October | +15.3° | +14.3° | +1° |
| 18 October – 27 October | +16.3° | +13.1° | +3.2° |
| 28 October – 6 November | near average | +11.7° | — |
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Dursley (3.9 km away).
Leathern Bottle, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.
Leathern Bottle, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Leathern Bottle, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Leathern Bottle, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Leathern Bottle, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 19°C, low 13°C.
Leathern Bottle, Wednesday, 14 October
Mainly clear. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Leathern Bottle, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Leathern Bottle, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Leathern Bottle, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Leathern Bottle, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Leathern Bottle, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 13°C.
Leathern Bottle, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 18°C, low 13°C.
Leathern Bottle, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 18°C, low 11°C.
Leathern Bottle, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 18°C, low 11°C.
Leathern Bottle, Friday, 23 October
Mainly clear. High 16°C, low 9°C.
Leathern Bottle, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Leathern Bottle, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Leathern Bottle, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Leathern Bottle, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Leathern Bottle, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Leathern Bottle, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Leathern Bottle, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Leathern Bottle, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Leathern Bottle, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Leathern Bottle, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Leathern Bottle, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Leathern Bottle, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Leathern Bottle, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Leathern Bottle, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Leathern Bottle are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
These are real historical extremes recorded in Leathern Bottle since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.