The month ahead in Howgate: daytime temperatures averaging +14.1° and +11.1° overnight — that is 1.2° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 13 days (around 107 mm), against a normal of 9 days and 80 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+15.9°), the coolest 7 October (+7.8°).
+14.1°/+11.1°
Average day / night
+1.2°
Above average
13 / 9
Wet days / normal
107 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
6 October – 15 October
+14.2°
+13.2°
+1°
16 October – 25 October
+13.9°
+12.1°
+1.8°
26 October – 4 November
near average
+11.2°
—
October records over 66 years
+20.4°10 October 2018All-time high
-2.7°30 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Whitehaven (3.2 km away).
Wed, 07+8 ° /13 °0.7
+13 °
Howgate, Wednesday, 7 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Thu, 08+8 ° /14 °8
+14 °
Howgate, Thursday, 8 October
Heavy rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Fri, 09+12 ° /15 °27.9
+15 °
Howgate, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind21 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point9°C
Sat, 10+11 ° /13 °15.3
+13 °
Howgate, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind26 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Sun, 11+11 ° /13 °0.9
+13 °
Howgate, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind20 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+11 ° /16 °2.5
+16 °
Howgate, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind27 mph SE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /16 °5.7
+16 °
Howgate, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind31 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 14+12 ° /13 °6.8
+13 °
Howgate, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind26 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Thu, 15+11 ° /14 °6.6
+14 °
Howgate, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind44 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Fri, 16+10 ° /15 °4.8
+15 °
Howgate, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure997 mb
Wind35 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Sat, 17+8 ° /10 °6.3
+10 °
Howgate, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind37 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sun, 18+10 ° /14 °6
+14 °
Howgate, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind35 mph SW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Mon, 19+13 ° /15 °8
+15 °
Howgate, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind40 mph SW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Tue, 20+14 ° /15 °4.1
+15 °
Howgate, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 14°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind28 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Wed, 21+14 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Howgate, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 14°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind24 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 22+9 ° /12 °4.7
+12 °
Howgate, Thursday, 22 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.7 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+17° (1971)
Coldest on record+3° (1993)
Fri, 23+9 ° /12 °5.6
+12 °
Howgate, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.6 mm
Chance of rain68%
Warmest on record+16° (2011)
Coldest on record+3° (1993)
Sat, 24+9 ° /12 °6.1
+12 °
Howgate, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall6.1 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+16° (1995)
Coldest on record+3° (1964)
Sun, 25+9 ° /12 °6.5
+12 °
Howgate, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall6.5 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+17° (2024)
Coldest on record+2° (1993)
Mon, 26+9 ° /12 °4.8
+12 °
Howgate, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Tue, 27+9 ° /12 °6.5
+12 °
Howgate, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall6.5 mm
Chance of rain72%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °6.8
+12 °
Howgate, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall6.8 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (2018)
Thu, 29+8 ° /11 °5.2
+11 °
Howgate, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (2018)
Fri, 30+8 ° /12 °5.9
+12 °
Howgate, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5.9 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-3° (2018)
Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °6.1
+12 °
Howgate, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall6.1 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record+0° (2019)
Sun, 01+8 ° /11 °7.4
+11 °
Howgate, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall7.4 mm
Chance of rain73%
Warmest on record+14° (2020)
Coldest on record+2° (1985)
Mon, 02+8 ° /11 °6.5
+11 °
Howgate, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall6.5 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+15° (1969)
Coldest on record+1° (1986)
Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °7.3
+11 °
Howgate, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall7.3 mm
Chance of rain73%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record+1° (1985)
Wed, 04+7 ° /10 °4.7
+10 °
Howgate, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.7 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+14° (2010)
Coldest on record-1° (1968)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Howgate are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Howgate since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.