The month ahead in Gurney Slade: daytime temperatures averaging +13.2° and +7.4° overnight — that is 0.5° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 40 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 42 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+17.5°), the coolest 17 October (+1.6°).
+13.2°/+7.4°
Average day / night
−0.5°
Below average
8 / 6
Wet days / normal
40 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
8 October – 17 October
+14°
+14.1°
-0.1°
18 October – 27 October
+11.9°
+12.9°
-1°
28 October – 6 November
near average
+11.7°
—
October records over 66 years
+24°1 October 2011All-time high
-3°16 October 1981All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Shepton Mallet (5.7 km away).
Fri, 09+9 ° /15 °4.1
+15 °
Gurney Slade, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point14°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Gurney Slade, Saturday, 10 October
Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+8 ° /13 °0.1
+13 °
Gurney Slade, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind5 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point9°C
Mon, 12+10 ° /17 °2.1
+17 °
Gurney Slade, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind13 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point15°C
Tue, 13+14 ° /18 °2.7
+18 °
Gurney Slade, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 14°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind12 mph SW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point16°C
Wed, 14+9 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Gurney Slade, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 15+6 ° /12 °8.3
+12 °
Gurney Slade, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind19 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Fri, 16+4 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Gurney Slade, Friday, 16 October
Mainly clear. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind10 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Sat, 17+2 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Gurney Slade, Saturday, 17 October
Clear sky. High 11°C, low 2°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind10 mph NE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Sun, 18+4 ° /10 °0.6
+10 °
Gurney Slade, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind11 mph N
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Mon, 19+7 ° /12 °14.4
+12 °
Gurney Slade, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind16 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Tue, 20+7 ° /13 °2.2
+13 °
Gurney Slade, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind17 mph E
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 21+10 ° /11 °3.7
+11 °
Gurney Slade, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind10 mph E
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Thu, 22+8 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Gurney Slade, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind10 mph N
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Fri, 23+8 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Gurney Slade, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind11 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °3.3
+13 °
Gurney Slade, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.3 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /13 °2.1
+13 °
Gurney Slade, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+17° (2013)
Coldest on record-2° (2010)
Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °1.6
+13 °
Gurney Slade, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.6 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+17° (1988)
Coldest on record+1° (1966)
Tue, 27+7 ° /13 °2.6
+13 °
Gurney Slade, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1962)
Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °2.7
+13 °
Gurney Slade, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record+1° (2003)
Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
Gurney Slade, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record-2° (2008)
Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °2.6
+12 °
Gurney Slade, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+18° (2001)
Coldest on record-3° (1983)
Sat, 31+7 ° /13 °3.7
+13 °
Gurney Slade, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.7 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1997)
Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
Gurney Slade, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1997)
Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °4
+12 °
Gurney Slade, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (2006)
Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °2.1
+11 °
Gurney Slade, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+15° (1969)
Coldest on record-4° (1985)
Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °2.1
+11 °
Gurney Slade, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+15° (1978)
Coldest on record-3° (1966)
Thu, 05+5 ° /11 °2.2
+11 °
Gurney Slade, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Fri, 06+5 ° /11 °2
+11 °
Gurney Slade, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+16° (2015)
Coldest on record0° (2012)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Gurney Slade are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Gurney Slade since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.