As of 14:56 BST

Weather in Small Way

+13°

Small Way, Wednesday, 7 October, 14:56

Overcast. Feels like 12°C. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind16 mph N

Humidity78%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Small Way: daytime temperatures averaging +14.8° and +7.9° overnight — that is 0.5° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 49 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 40 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+18.2°), the coolest 22 October (+4.7°).

+14.8°/+7.9°

Average day / night

+0.5°

Above average

8 / 6

Wet days / normal

49 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+16.1°	+14.7°	+1.4°
17 October – 26 October	+12.5°	+13.4°	-0.9°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12.2°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.2°1 October 2011All-time high

-3°30 October 1983All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Castle Cary (1.7 km away).

Thu, 08+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Small Way, Thursday, 8 October

Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity63%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Fri, 09+12 ° /18 °

1.6

+18 °

Small Way, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind18 mph SW

Humidity76%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+10 ° /14 °

1.3

+14 °

Small Way, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity69%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Sun, 11+8 ° /14 °

+14 °

Small Way, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind7 mph W

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+10 ° /18 °

0.2

+18 °

Small Way, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Tue, 13+10 ° /17 °

3.1

+17 °

Small Way, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind17 mph NW

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Wed, 14+9 ° /17 °

+17 °

Small Way, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind8 mph S

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 15+8 ° /18 °

0.1

+18 °

Small Way, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind15 mph SW

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Fri, 16+6 ° /14 °

+14 °

Small Way, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind6 mph E

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sat, 17+8 ° /15 °

1.6

+15 °

Small Way, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity94%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Sun, 18+7 ° /15 °

5.9

+15 °

Small Way, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind18 mph S

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Mon, 19+6 ° /9 °

20.3

+9 °

Small Way, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 9°C, low 6°C.

Pressure998 mb

Wind23 mph NW

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Tue, 20+5 ° /12 °

0.2

+12 °

Small Way, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind16 mph NW

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Wed, 21+6 ° /12 °

+12 °

Small Way, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1008 mb

Wind20 mph NW

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Thu, 22+5 ° /13 °

2.7

+13 °

Small Way, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind12 mph SW

Humidity89%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Small Way, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record+0° (1981)

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

3.3

+13 °

Small Way, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record0° (1964)

Sun, 25+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Small Way, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record-2° (2010)

Mon, 26+8 ° /13 °

1.5

+13 °

Small Way, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1966)

Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °

2.5

+13 °

Small Way, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (2003)

Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °

2.4

+13 °

Small Way, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2012)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

2.1

+12 °

Small Way, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /13 °

2.4

+13 °

Small Way, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+18° (2001)

Coldest on record-3° (1983)

Sat, 31+7 ° /13 °

3.3

+13 °

Small Way, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Small Way, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

3.6

+12 °

Small Way, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Tue, 03+6 ° /12 °

+12 °

Small Way, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+16° (1969)

Coldest on record-3° (2006)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

+11 °

Small Way, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+16° (2010)

Coldest on record-2° (1966)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

2.1

+11 °

Small Way, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Small Way are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Small Way since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.