As of 21:01 BST

Weather in Abbey Field

+11°

Abbey Field, Wednesday, 7 October, 21:01

Overcast. Feels like 10°C. High 14°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind13 mph NW

Humidity88%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Abbey Field: daytime temperatures averaging +16° and +9.2° overnight — that is 1.5° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 5 days (around 23 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 34 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+20.6°), the coolest 22 October (+5.3°).

+16°/+9.2°

Average day / night

+1.5°

Above average

5 / 6

Wet days / normal

23 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+16.4°	+15°	+1.5°
17 October – 26 October	+15.2°	+13.6°	+1.6°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12.4°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.8°2 October 2011All-time high

-0.5°31 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Colchester (0.7 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Abbey Field, Thursday, 8 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity58%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point4°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /18 °

3.5

+18 °

Abbey Field, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 18°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind20 mph W

Humidity74%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /15 °

+15 °

Abbey Field, Saturday, 10 October

Mainly clear. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind15 mph W

Humidity58%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Abbey Field, Sunday, 11 October

Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind12 mph W

Humidity64%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+6 ° /16 °

0.7

+16 °

Abbey Field, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity79%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Tue, 13+12 ° /21 °

+21 °

Abbey Field, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 21°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind17 mph NW

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point15°C

Wed, 14+9 ° /17 °

+17 °

Abbey Field, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind7 mph SW

Humidity46%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Thu, 15+11 ° /19 °

+19 °

Abbey Field, Thursday, 15 October

Clear sky. High 19°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity52%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Fri, 16+9 ° /14 °

+14 °

Abbey Field, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind13 mph N

Humidity51%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Sat, 17+12 ° /19 °

+19 °

Abbey Field, Saturday, 17 October

Overcast. High 19°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind11 mph S

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Sun, 18+13 ° /17 °

0.4

+17 °

Abbey Field, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Mon, 19+11 ° /17 °

4.2

+17 °

Abbey Field, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1002 mb

Wind24 mph S

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Tue, 20+8 ° /14 °

6.9

+14 °

Abbey Field, Tuesday, 20 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind24 mph S

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Wed, 21+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Abbey Field, Wednesday, 21 October

Mainly clear. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1005 mb

Wind12 mph W

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Thu, 22+5 ° /13 °

+13 °

Abbey Field, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind17 mph S

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+9 ° /14 °

1.5

+14 °

Abbey Field, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record+4° (2021)

Sat, 24+9 ° /14 °

1.8

+14 °

Abbey Field, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+19° (2017)

Coldest on record+2° (1964)

Sun, 25+9 ° /14 °

1.3

+14 °

Abbey Field, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+18° (2013)

Coldest on record+3° (2003)

Mon, 26+9 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Abbey Field, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+3° (1964)

Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °

1.8

+13 °

Abbey Field, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+21° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (1984)

Wed, 28+8 ° /13 °

2.4

+13 °

Abbey Field, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+2° (2012)

Thu, 29+8 ° /13 °

1.4

+13 °

Abbey Field, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (2008)

Fri, 30+8 ° /13 °

1.4

+13 °

Abbey Field, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1983)

Sat, 31+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Abbey Field, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Sun, 01+8 ° /13 °

2.2

+13 °

Abbey Field, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+17° (1999)

Coldest on record+2° (1988)

Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Abbey Field, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2020)

Coldest on record+1° (1985)

Tue, 03+7 ° /12 °

1.8

+12 °

Abbey Field, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record-1° (1985)

Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °

2.1

+11 °

Abbey Field, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+16° (2010)

Coldest on record+1° (1966)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

1.5

+11 °

Abbey Field, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Abbey Field are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Abbey Field since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.