As of 11:39 BST

Weather in Birch

+14°

Birch, Wednesday, 7 October, 11:39

Light rain. Feels like 14°C. High 14°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind10 mph N

Humidity93%

Visibility2.1 mi

Dew point13°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Birch: daytime temperatures averaging +15.2° and +9.9° overnight — that is 0.8° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 6 days (around 36 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 32 mm. The warmest day should be 9 October (+19.2°), the coolest 12 October (+6.8°).

+15.2°/+9.9°

Average day / night

+0.8°

Above average

6 / 6

Wet days / normal

36 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+16.1°	+14.9°	+1.3°
17 October – 26 October	+13.5°	+13.5°	+0°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12.3°	—

October records over 66 years

+25.2°2 October 2011All-time high

-0.5°29 October 2008All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Tiptree (6 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Birch, Thursday, 8 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point4°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /19 °

3.8

+19 °

Birch, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 19°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind18 mph SW

Humidity79%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /15 °

+15 °

Birch, Saturday, 10 October

Mainly clear. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind15 mph W

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Birch, Sunday, 11 October

Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind11 mph W

Humidity52%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /17 °

+17 °

Birch, Monday, 12 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Tue, 13+12 ° /17 °

0.4

+17 °

Birch, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity50%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Wed, 14+13 ° /16 °

0.5

+16 °

Birch, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind6 mph NE

Humidity85%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Thu, 15+13 ° /18 °

+18 °

Birch, Thursday, 15 October

Clear sky. High 18°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind12 mph SE

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 16+12 ° /16 °

+16 °

Birch, Friday, 16 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind12 mph SE

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Sat, 17+12 ° /18 °

0.8

+18 °

Birch, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind17 mph S

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Sun, 18+9 ° /16 °

1.1

+16 °

Birch, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind21 mph S

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Mon, 19+12 ° /14 °

8.4

+14 °

Birch, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 12°C.

Pressure997 mb

Wind12 mph SE

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 20+8 ° /12 °

0.5

+12 °

Birch, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure995 mb

Wind19 mph NW

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Wed, 21+7 ° /8 °

+8 °

Birch, Wednesday, 21 October

Rain. High 8°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind27 mph NW

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 22+8 ° /13 °

2.7

+13 °

Birch, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /13 °

1.5

+13 °

Birch, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record+4° (1987)

Sat, 24+8 ° /14 °

1.6

+14 °

Birch, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+18° (2017)

Coldest on record+1° (1964)

Sun, 25+8 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Birch, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+18° (2017)

Coldest on record+2° (2003)

Mon, 26+8 ° /13 °

1.2

+13 °

Birch, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.2 mm

Chance of rain25%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+2° (2010)

Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °

1.6

+13 °

Birch, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+21° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (1984)

Wed, 28+8 ° /13 °

2.4

+13 °

Birch, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2012)

Thu, 29+8 ° /12 °

1.3

+12 °

Birch, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (2008)

Fri, 30+8 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Birch, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1983)

Sat, 31+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Birch, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Sun, 01+8 ° /13 °

2.1

+13 °

Birch, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2020)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Birch, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+17° (2020)

Coldest on record+1° (1985)

Tue, 03+7 ° /12 °

1.8

+12 °

Birch, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.2

+11 °

Birch, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (2010)

Coldest on record+1° (1966)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

1.3

+11 °

Birch, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Birch are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Birch since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.