Gilfach Garden Village, Thursday, 8 October, 15:27
Overcast. Feels like 13°C. High 14°C, low 5°C.
The month ahead in Gilfach Garden Village: daytime temperatures averaging +12.2° and +6.5° overnight — that is 1° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 49 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 61 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+15.1°), the coolest 16 October (+3.8°).
| Period | Forecast (day) | Average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 October – 17 October | +12.4° | +13.6° | -1.2° |
| 18 October – 27 October | +11.8° | +12.5° | -0.6° |
| 28 October – 6 November | near average | +11.3° | — |
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Tonypandy (4.3 km away).
Gilfach Garden Village, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 5°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 4°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 4°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 9°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Tuesday, 20 October
Mainly clear. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 5°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Thursday, 22 October
Clear sky. High 13°C, low 5°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Friday, 23 October
Clear sky. High 13°C, low 4°C.
Gilfach Garden Village, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Gilfach Garden Village, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Gilfach Garden Village, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Gilfach Garden Village, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Gilfach Garden Village, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Gilfach Garden Village, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Gilfach Garden Village, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Gilfach Garden Village, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Gilfach Garden Village, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Gilfach Garden Village, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Gilfach Garden Village, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Gilfach Garden Village, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Gilfach Garden Village, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Gilfach Garden Village, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Gilfach Garden Village are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
These are real historical extremes recorded in Gilfach Garden Village since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.