The month ahead in Fryars Bay: daytime temperatures averaging +13.2° and +9.4° overnight — that is 0.5° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 12 days (around 54 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 49 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+16.5°), the coolest 22 October (+7°).
+13.2°/+9.4°
Average day / night
−0.5°
Below average
12 / 8
Wet days / normal
54 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+14.5°
+14.1°
+0.4°
17 October – 26 October
+11.2°
+12.9°
-1.7°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.9°
—
October records over 66 years
+23.8°1 October 1985All-time high
-1.9°31 October 1988All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Llanfairfechan (8.2 km away).
Thu, 08+9 ° /14 °3.1
+14 °
Fryars Bay, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Fri, 09+11 ° /15 °9.7
+15 °
Fryars Bay, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point10°C
Sat, 10+10 ° /12 °3
+12 °
Fryars Bay, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind21 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+9 ° /12 °0.6
+12 °
Fryars Bay, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind8 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+10 ° /16 °1.6
+16 °
Fryars Bay, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind23 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /17 °3.5
+17 °
Fryars Bay, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind20 mph S
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Wed, 14+11 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Fryars Bay, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 13°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind8 mph N
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 15+11 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Fryars Bay, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind5 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Fri, 16+11 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Fryars Bay, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind5 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Sat, 17+8 ° /12 °8.9
+12 °
Fryars Bay, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Sun, 18+9 ° /13 °7.6
+13 °
Fryars Bay, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Mon, 19+7 ° /11 °2.9
+11 °
Fryars Bay, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Tue, 20+7 ° /10 °1.6
+10 °
Fryars Bay, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Wed, 21+8 ° /11 °3.2
+11 °
Fryars Bay, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind25 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Thu, 22+7 ° /10 °3
+10 °
Fryars Bay, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind11 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+8 ° /13 °2.6
+13 °
Fryars Bay, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+19° (1996)
Coldest on record+2° (1987)
Sat, 24+8 ° /13 °3.3
+13 °
Fryars Bay, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.3 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+18° (1995)
Coldest on record+1° (2007)
Sun, 25+8 ° /13 °4.2
+13 °
Fryars Bay, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.2 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2024)
Coldest on record-1° (2010)
Mon, 26+8 ° /13 °3.1
+13 °
Fryars Bay, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+0° (1997)
Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °3.9
+13 °
Fryars Bay, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+20° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °3.6
+12 °
Fryars Bay, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1997)
Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °3
+12 °
Fryars Bay, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record-1° (1997)
Fri, 30+8 ° /13 °3
+13 °
Fryars Bay, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+17° (2009)
Coldest on record0° (1988)
Sat, 31+8 ° /13 °3.7
+13 °
Fryars Bay, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.7 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+20° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °4.3
+12 °
Fryars Bay, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+16° (2015)
Coldest on record0° (1988)
Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °4.7
+12 °
Fryars Bay, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.7 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1986)
Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °4.1
+11 °
Fryars Bay, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+16° (2011)
Coldest on record-2° (2006)
Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °2.7
+11 °
Fryars Bay, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+15° (1971)
Coldest on record-1° (1967)
Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °4
+11 °
Fryars Bay, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+18° (2025)
Coldest on record+0° (1965)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Fryars Bay are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Fryars Bay since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.