As of 21:03 BST

Weather in Aber-Tafol

+9°

Aber-Tafol, Wednesday, 7 October, 21:03

Mainly clear. Feels like 6°C. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind12 mph N

Humidity100%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Aber-Tafol: daytime temperatures averaging +13.3° and +8.2° overnight — that is 0° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 12 days (around 106 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 63 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+16.6°), the coolest 18 October (+4.2°).

+13.3°/+8.2°

Average day / night

+0°

Above average

12 / 8

Wet days / normal

106 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14°	+13.7°	+0.3°
17 October – 26 October	+12.2°	+12.5°	-0.3°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.5°	—

October records over 66 years

+23.6°1 October 2011All-time high

-2°30 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Tywyn (7.4 km away).

Thu, 08+9 ° /15 °

4.1

+15 °

Aber-Tafol, Thursday, 8 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Fri, 09+12 ° /15 °

+15 °

Aber-Tafol, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind19 mph NW

Humidity89%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+10 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind21 mph W

Humidity76%

Visibility4.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /12 °

0.7

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind7 mph W

Humidity74%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+8 ° /17 °

4.9

+17 °

Aber-Tafol, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind15 mph SE

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Tue, 13+11 ° /16 °

6.8

+16 °

Aber-Tafol, Tuesday, 13 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind18 mph SW

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Wed, 14+9 ° /15 °

0.2

+15 °

Aber-Tafol, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind12 mph SW

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Thu, 15+9 ° /14 °

3.4

+14 °

Aber-Tafol, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind17 mph SW

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Fri, 16+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind6 mph E

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Sat, 17+6 ° /13 °

1.7

+13 °

Aber-Tafol, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity80%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Sun, 18+4 ° /14 °

0.5

+14 °

Aber-Tafol, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind22 mph S

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /13 °

24.6

+13 °

Aber-Tafol, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure996 mb

Wind26 mph SW

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Tue, 20+8 ° /10 °

+10 °

Aber-Tafol, Tuesday, 20 October

Rain. High 10°C, low 8°C.

Pressure996 mb

Wind24 mph SW

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Wed, 21+7 ° /10 °

+10 °

Aber-Tafol, Wednesday, 21 October

Rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 22+7 ° /12 °

8.5

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Thursday, 22 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1005 mb

Wind18 mph SE

Humidity79%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °

3.2

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (1996)

Coldest on record+1° (1987)

Sat, 24+8 ° /12 °

5.3

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.3 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record+2° (1987)

Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °

5.4

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.4 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+16° (2024)

Coldest on record-1° (2010)

Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °

3.8

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °

5.3

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.3 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (2003)

Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °

5.4

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.4 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record+0° (2019)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

4.4

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Fri, 30+8 ° /12 °

4.7

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.7 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+16° (2015)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °

5.4

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.4 mm

Chance of rain67%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °

5.6

+12 °

Aber-Tafol, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.6 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+17° (2015)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °

6.1

+11 °

Aber-Tafol, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6.1 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1986)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

5.1

+11 °

Aber-Tafol, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain67%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Aber-Tafol, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+15° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (1968)

Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °

4.6

+11 °

Aber-Tafol, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.6 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+18° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1965)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Aber-Tafol are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Aber-Tafol since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.