As of 05:06 BST

Weather in Dyffryn Cellwen

+6°

Dyffryn Cellwen, Thursday, 8 October, 05:06

Light rain. Feels like 4°C. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind8 mph NW

Humidity87%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Dyffryn Cellwen: daytime temperatures averaging +13.3° and +7.8° overnight — that is 0.1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 90 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 62 mm. The warmest day should be 9 October (+16.6°), the coolest 17 October (+3°).

+13.3°/+7.8°

Average day / night

+0.1°

Above average

9 / 7

Wet days / normal

90 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+12.8°	+13.6°	-0.8°
18 October – 27 October	+14.3°	+12.4°	+1.8°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+11.2°	—

October records over 66 years

+23.1°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.2°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Hirwaun (12.1 km away).

Fri, 09+8 ° /17 °

11.4

+17 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity97%

Visibility5030 ft

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+7 ° /10 °

0.9

+10 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity71%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+5 ° /11 °

0.1

+11 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind6 mph W

Humidity72%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Monday, 12 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind13 mph SE

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 13+10 ° /15 °

+15 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Tuesday, 13 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity100%

Visibility—

Dew point15°C

Wed, 14+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind9 mph SW

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 15+7 ° /11 °

15.4

+11 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Thursday, 15 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind18 mph N

Humidity94%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Fri, 16+4 ° /10 °

+10 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Friday, 16 October

Mainly clear. High 10°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind13 mph N

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Sat, 17+3 ° /11 °

1.3

+11 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 3°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind7 mph N

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Sun, 18+7 ° /11 °

20.4

+11 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind7 mph SE

Humidity96%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Mon, 19+11 ° /14 °

1.2

+14 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind6 mph SW

Humidity89%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Tue, 20+12 ° /16 °

+16 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind14 mph SE

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Wed, 21+11 ° /16 °

+16 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind17 mph SE

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Thu, 22+10 ° /15 °

+15 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Thursday, 22 October

Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind17 mph E

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 23+8 ° /14 °

+14 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Friday, 23 October

Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind14 mph E

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °

5.2

+12 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+16° (1995)

Coldest on record-1° (2003)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

5.2

+12 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (1969)

Coldest on record-1° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °

3.4

+12 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1997)

Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °

4.5

+12 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2003)

Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °

5.2

+12 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (2012)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

4.4

+12 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+17° (2015)

Coldest on record0° (1983)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1992)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

4.8

+12 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.8 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+15° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °

5.9

+11 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.9 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.9

+11 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.9 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+15° (1973)

Coldest on record-2° (1968)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

3.4

+11 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record0° (1965)

Fri, 06+6 ° /10 °

2.8

+10 °

Dyffryn Cellwen, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+15° (2015)

Coldest on record+1° (1960)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Dyffryn Cellwen are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Dyffryn Cellwen since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.