The month ahead in Lower Sketty: daytime temperatures averaging +14.4° and +10.1° overnight — that is 0.5° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 77 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 63 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+17.4°), the coolest 18 October (+7.8°).
+14.4°/+10.1°
Average day / night
+0.5°
Above average
9 / 8
Wet days / normal
77 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+14.9°
+14.3°
+0.6°
17 October – 26 October
+13.6°
+13.1°
+0.5°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+12.1°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.2°1 October 2011All-time high
-0.5°30 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Swansea / Abertawe (4.4 km away).
Thu, 08+10 ° /15 °0.4
+15 °
Lower Sketty, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Fri, 09+11 ° /17 °5.7
+17 °
Lower Sketty, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind25 mph W
Humidity95%
Visibility1.9 mi
Dew point15°C
Sat, 10+11 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Lower Sketty, Saturday, 10 October
Mainly clear. High 14°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+8 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Lower Sketty, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind4 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Mon, 12+12 ° /17 °8.9
+17 °
Lower Sketty, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 17°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind14 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point16°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /17 °3
+17 °
Lower Sketty, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Wed, 14+12 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Lower Sketty, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind11 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Thu, 15+10 ° /15 °0.9
+15 °
Lower Sketty, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Fri, 16+9 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Lower Sketty, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1026 mb
Wind11 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Sat, 17+9 ° /14 °1.5
+14 °
Lower Sketty, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind14 mph W
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Sun, 18+8 ° /15 °0.6
+15 °
Lower Sketty, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind29 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Mon, 19+11 ° /15 °16.5
+15 °
Lower Sketty, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind30 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Tue, 20+10 ° /12 °15.1
+12 °
Lower Sketty, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.
Pressure997 mb
Wind28 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Wed, 21+8 ° /11 °7.4
+11 °
Lower Sketty, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Thu, 22+9 ° /14 °14.5
+14 °
Lower Sketty, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind22 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+9 ° /13 °3.8
+13 °
Lower Sketty, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (2011)
Coldest on record+3° (1987)
Sat, 24+9 ° /13 °5.7
+13 °
Lower Sketty, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.7 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+16° (1995)
Coldest on record+2° (1987)
Sun, 25+9 ° /13 °5.2
+13 °
Lower Sketty, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2022)
Coldest on record+1° (2010)
Mon, 26+9 ° /13 °3.5
+13 °
Lower Sketty, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+4° (2003)
Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °5
+13 °
Lower Sketty, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Wed, 28+9 ° /13 °4.8
+13 °
Lower Sketty, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Thu, 29+9 ° /12 °4.8
+12 °
Lower Sketty, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record+0° (2018)
Fri, 30+9 ° /13 °5.2
+13 °
Lower Sketty, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2015)
Coldest on record0° (2018)
Sat, 31+9 ° /13 °5.6
+13 °
Lower Sketty, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.6 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (1966)
Sun, 01+9 ° /12 °5
+12 °
Lower Sketty, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+16° (2009)
Coldest on record+2° (2008)
Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °5.7
+12 °
Lower Sketty, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5.7 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (2018)
Tue, 03+8 ° /12 °4.3
+12 °
Lower Sketty, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record+1° (1985)
Wed, 04+8 ° /11 °3.1
+11 °
Lower Sketty, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record+0° (2006)
Thu, 05+8 ° /11 °3.4
+11 °
Lower Sketty, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+3° (2006)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Lower Sketty are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Lower Sketty since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.