The month ahead in Ashcombe Park: daytime temperatures averaging +14.6° and +10.7° overnight — that is 0.1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 33 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 44 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+18.2°), the coolest 16 October (+8.3°).
+14.6°/+10.7°
Average day / night
+0.1°
Above average
8 / 7
Wet days / normal
33 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+15.2°
+14.9°
+0.3°
17 October – 26 October
+13.7°
+13.7°
+0°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+12.6°
—
October records over 66 years
+24.7°1 October 2011All-time high
-1.1°16 October 1981All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Weston-Super-Mare (1.9 km away).
Thu, 08+9 ° /14 °1
+14 °
Ashcombe Park, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Fri, 09+12 ° /17 °3.4
+17 °
Ashcombe Park, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 17°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind23 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility4.9 mi
Dew point15°C
Sat, 10+12 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Ashcombe Park, Saturday, 10 October
Mainly clear. High 14°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind20 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Sun, 11+11 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Ashcombe Park, Sunday, 11 October
Clear sky. High 14°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind7 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+11 ° /17 °3.8
+17 °
Ashcombe Park, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind21 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Tue, 13+13 ° /18 °0
+18 °
Ashcombe Park, Tuesday, 13 October
Overcast. High 18°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind18 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Wed, 14+12 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Ashcombe Park, Wednesday, 14 October
Partly cloudy. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1027 mb
Wind9 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Thu, 15+11 ° /16 °0.6
+16 °
Ashcombe Park, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Fri, 16+8 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Ashcombe Park, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind9 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Sat, 17+11 ° /14 °9.9
+14 °
Ashcombe Park, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind25 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Sun, 18+8 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Ashcombe Park, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1028 mb
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Mon, 19+12 ° /15 °4.7
+15 °
Ashcombe Park, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind28 mph W
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Tue, 20+14 ° /16 °1.2
+16 °
Ashcombe Park, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 14°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind27 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Wed, 21+10 ° /14 °0.3
+14 °
Ashcombe Park, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind26 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Thu, 22+8 ° /11 °3.2
+11 °
Ashcombe Park, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure997 mb
Wind28 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+9 ° /14 °2.3
+14 °
Ashcombe Park, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record+2° (1981)
Sat, 24+9 ° /14 °3.6
+14 °
Ashcombe Park, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+18° (1995)
Coldest on record+0° (1987)
Sun, 25+9 ° /13 °2.4
+13 °
Ashcombe Park, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2013)
Coldest on record-1° (1987)
Mon, 26+9 ° /14 °2
+14 °
Ashcombe Park, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+3° (1966)
Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °3
+13 °
Ashcombe Park, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /13 °2.8
+13 °
Ashcombe Park, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record+1° (2012)
Thu, 29+8 ° /13 °2.7
+13 °
Ashcombe Park, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record0° (2008)
Fri, 30+8 ° /13 °2.6
+13 °
Ashcombe Park, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+19° (2001)
Coldest on record-1° (1983)
Sat, 31+9 ° /13 °3.9
+13 °
Ashcombe Park, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record+1° (1997)
Sun, 01+8 ° /13 °2.8
+13 °
Ashcombe Park, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record+1° (1988)
Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °3.8
+12 °
Ashcombe Park, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2006)
Tue, 03+8 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
Ashcombe Park, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+16° (2011)
Coldest on record-2° (1985)
Wed, 04+7 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
Ashcombe Park, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+16° (1978)
Coldest on record0° (1966)
Thu, 05+7 ° /12 °2.4
+12 °
Ashcombe Park, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+1° (1988)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Ashcombe Park are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Ashcombe Park since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.