As of 18:42 BST

Weather in Churchill

+11°

Churchill, Wednesday, 7 October, 18:42

Mainly clear. Feels like 10°C. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind5 mph N

Humidity70%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Churchill: daytime temperatures averaging +14.3° and +7.2° overnight — that is 0.3° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 32 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 34 mm. The warmest day should be 14 October (+17.6°), the coolest 21 October (+4.4°).

+14.3°/+7.2°

Average day / night

+0.3°

Above average

9 / 6

Wet days / normal

32 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+15.2°	+14.4°	+0.8°
17 October – 26 October	+12.7°	+13.1°	-0.3°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.9°	—

October records over 66 years

+26.5°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.8°19 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Kidderminster (5.3 km away).

Thu, 08+8 ° /15 °

0.9

+15 °

Churchill, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity57%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /16 °

3.6

+16 °

Churchill, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind13 mph SW

Humidity85%

Visibility4.9 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /13 °

+13 °

Churchill, Saturday, 10 October

Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity57%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /14 °

+14 °

Churchill, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+6 ° /17 °

1.8

+17 °

Churchill, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 13+9 ° /16 °

1.2

+16 °

Churchill, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind17 mph NW

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Wed, 14+7 ° /18 °

+18 °

Churchill, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 18°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind9 mph SW

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 15+7 ° /17 °

0.2

+17 °

Churchill, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind18 mph SW

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Fri, 16+5 ° /13 °

+13 °

Churchill, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind6 mph SE

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sat, 17+9 ° /12 °

+12 °

Churchill, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind10 mph S

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Sun, 18+6 ° /15 °

+15 °

Churchill, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind18 mph S

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Churchill, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure998 mb

Wind25 mph S

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Tue, 20+6 ° /11 °

2.9

+11 °

Churchill, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.

Pressure997 mb

Wind16 mph S

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Wed, 21+4 ° /12 °

2.9

+12 °

Churchill, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind12 mph W

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Thu, 22+4 ° /12 °

3.6

+12 °

Churchill, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind18 mph SE

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °

1.7

+13 °

Churchill, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+18° (2011)

Coldest on record+0° (1987)

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

2.3

+13 °

Churchill, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+18° (1996)

Coldest on record0° (1987)

Sun, 25+8 ° /13 °

1.9

+13 °

Churchill, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record-1° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

2.1

+13 °

Churchill, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Tue, 27+7 ° /13 °

2.3

+13 °

Churchill, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °

1.8

+13 °

Churchill, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (2008)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

1.6

+12 °

Churchill, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (1997)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

2.3

+12 °

Churchill, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+18° (2001)

Coldest on record-1° (1983)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Churchill, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+20° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (2018)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

2.2

+12 °

Churchill, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Mon, 02+6 ° /12 °

3.4

+12 °

Churchill, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

1.7

+11 °

Churchill, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record-2° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

1.9

+11 °

Churchill, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+16° (2010)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

2.3

+11 °

Churchill, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Churchill are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Churchill since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.