As of 19:58 BST

Weather in Church End

+10°

Church End, Wednesday, 7 October, 19:58

Partly cloudy. Feels like 9°C. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity88%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Church End: daytime temperatures averaging +14.9° and +8.3° overnight — that is 0.8° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 6 days (around 34 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 33 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+18.4°), the coolest 21 October (+4.9°).

+14.9°/+8.3°

Average day / night

+0.8°

Above average

6 / 6

Wet days / normal

34 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+15.7°	+14.6°	+1.1°
17 October – 26 October	+13.7°	+13.2°	+0.5°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12°	—

October records over 66 years

+25.6°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.5°29 October 2008All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Redbourn (1.3 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Church End, Thursday, 8 October

Mainly clear. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity53%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point3°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /17 °

2.6

+17 °

Church End, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind23 mph W

Humidity75%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /13 °

0.3

+13 °

Church End, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity60%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Church End, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind10 mph W

Humidity66%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /17 °

+17 °

Church End, Monday, 12 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Tue, 13+11 ° /18 °

1.7

+18 °

Church End, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity85%

Visibility—

Dew point15°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /17 °

+17 °

Church End, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind8 mph SW

Humidity52%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 15+9 ° /18 °

+18 °

Church End, Thursday, 15 October

Mainly clear. High 18°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind16 mph SW

Humidity49%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Fri, 16+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Church End, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind8 mph N

Humidity52%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sat, 17+12 ° /18 °

0.8

+18 °

Church End, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind12 mph SW

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sun, 18+10 ° /17 °

0.1

+17 °

Church End, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /16 °

4.9

+16 °

Church End, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind22 mph SW

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Tue, 20+7 ° /10 °

10.6

+10 °

Church End, Tuesday, 20 October

Rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind16 mph SW

Humidity94%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Wed, 21+5 ° /11 °

0.2

+11 °

Church End, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind11 mph W

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Thu, 22+5 ° /11 °

3.3

+11 °

Church End, Thursday, 22 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind16 mph SE

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Church End, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain23%

Warmest on record+18° (1963)

Coldest on record+3° (1981)

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

2.1

+13 °

Church End, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+18° (2017)

Coldest on record0° (1964)

Sun, 25+8 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Church End, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record0° (1997)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Church End, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain25%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record+0° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °

1.5

+13 °

Church End, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °

2.1

+13 °

Church End, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (2003)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

1.3

+12 °

Church End, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

1.4

+12 °

Church End, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+19° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (1997)

Sat, 31+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Church End, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+20° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (1997)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

2.2

+12 °

Church End, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+17° (1999)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Church End, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (1985)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

1.4

+11 °

Church End, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record-2° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.5

+11 °

Church End, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (2010)

Coldest on record-2° (1966)

Thu, 05+5 ° /11 °

1.5

+11 °

Church End, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain25%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Church End are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Church End since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.