As of 07:15 BST

Weather in Churchend

+14°

Churchend, Wednesday, 7 October, 07:15

Overcast. Feels like 14°C. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind5 mph N

Humidity95%

Visibility4.2 mi

Dew point14°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Churchend: daytime temperatures averaging +16.5° and +12.2° overnight — that is 1.8° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 4 days (around 16 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 32 mm. The warmest day should be 9 October (+19.2°), the coolest 8 October (+6.9°).

+16.5°/+12.2°

Average day / night

+1.8°

Above average

4 / 6

Wet days / normal

16 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+16.8°	+15.1°	+1.7°
17 October – 26 October	+16°	+13.8°	+2.2°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12.7°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.6°2 October 2011All-time high

+1.5°31 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Burnham-on-Crouch (5.8 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /16 °

+16 °

Churchend, Thursday, 8 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity58%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+11 ° /19 °

1.1

+19 °

Churchend, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 19°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind21 mph SW

Humidity73%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+10 ° /15 °

+15 °

Churchend, Saturday, 10 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind15 mph W

Humidity63%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+9 ° /15 °

+15 °

Churchend, Sunday, 11 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind13 mph W

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+8 ° /16 °

+16 °

Churchend, Monday, 12 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 13+14 ° /17 °

3.4

+17 °

Churchend, Tuesday, 13 October

Rain. High 17°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind21 mph S

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Wed, 14+15 ° /17 °

3.4

+17 °

Churchend, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 15°C.

Pressure1028 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Thu, 15+14 ° /17 °

+17 °

Churchend, Thursday, 15 October

Partly cloudy. High 17°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind9 mph S

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Fri, 16+15 ° /18 °

+18 °

Churchend, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 15°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Sat, 17+16 ° /18 °

+18 °

Churchend, Saturday, 17 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 16°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind16 mph S

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Sun, 18+15 ° /16 °

+16 °

Churchend, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 15°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind14 mph E

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Mon, 19+14 ° /17 °

+17 °

Churchend, Monday, 19 October

Partly cloudy. High 17°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind10 mph N

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Tue, 20+13 ° /15 °

+15 °

Churchend, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind14 mph NE

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Wed, 21+13 ° /15 °

+15 °

Churchend, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind16 mph NE

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 22+13 ° /15 °

0.4

+15 °

Churchend, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1028 mb

Wind19 mph NE

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+10 ° /14 °

1.5

+14 °

Churchend, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record+5° (2019)

Sat, 24+10 ° /14 °

1.7

+14 °

Churchend, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+19° (1995)

Coldest on record+3° (1964)

Sun, 25+10 ° /14 °

1.3

+14 °

Churchend, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+18° (2017)

Coldest on record+4° (2010)

Mon, 26+10 ° /14 °

1.2

+14 °

Churchend, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall1.2 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+4° (2025)

Tue, 27+10 ° /14 °

1.6

+14 °

Churchend, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+21° (2022)

Coldest on record+3° (2018)

Wed, 28+9 ° /13 °

2.5

+13 °

Churchend, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+2° (2019)

Thu, 29+9 ° /13 °

1.5

+13 °

Churchend, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record+3° (2008)

Fri, 30+9 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Churchend, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record+3° (1974)

Sat, 31+9 ° /13 °

2.1

+13 °

Churchend, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record+2° (2018)

Sun, 01+9 ° /13 °

+13 °

Churchend, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (1999)

Coldest on record+3° (1988)

Mon, 02+9 ° /13 °

2.7

+13 °

Churchend, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record+2° (2018)

Tue, 03+8 ° /12 °

1.9

+12 °

Churchend, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record+2° (1985)

Wed, 04+8 ° /12 °

2.2

+12 °

Churchend, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (2010)

Coldest on record+2° (2020)

Thu, 05+8 ° /12 °

1.3

+12 °

Churchend, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record+1° (2020)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Churchend are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Churchend since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.