As of 10:20 BST

Weather in Cholesbury

+9°

Cholesbury, Thursday, 8 October, 10:20

Clear sky. Feels like 7°C. High 12°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity81%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Cholesbury: daytime temperatures averaging +13.8° and +8° overnight — that is 0.1° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 6 days (around 25 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 32 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+20.2°), the coolest 17 October (+3.1°).

+13.8°/+8°

Average day / night

−0.1°

Below average

6 / 6

Wet days / normal

25 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+14°	+14.3°	-0.3°
18 October – 27 October	+13.3°	+13°	+0.3°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+11.6°	—

October records over 66 years

+25.6°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.8°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Northchurch (4.3 km away).

Fri, 09+7 ° /16 °

2.4

+16 °

Cholesbury, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind22 mph W

Humidity69%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point12°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /14 °

+14 °

Cholesbury, Saturday, 10 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /13 °

+13 °

Cholesbury, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+8 ° /15 °

1.1

+15 °

Cholesbury, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind15 mph SE

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 13+16 ° /20 °

+20 °

Cholesbury, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 20°C, low 16°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind13 mph SW

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point15°C

Wed, 14+10 ° /17 °

+17 °

Cholesbury, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind13 mph SW

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+7 ° /10 °

4.4

+10 °

Cholesbury, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind21 mph NW

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Fri, 16+4 ° /11 °

+11 °

Cholesbury, Friday, 16 October

Clear sky. High 11°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind11 mph N

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Sat, 17+3 ° /12 °

+12 °

Cholesbury, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 12°C, low 3°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind13 mph N

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Sun, 18+8 ° /14 °

2.9

+14 °

Cholesbury, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind13 mph N

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /13 °

12.5

+13 °

Cholesbury, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind17 mph S

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Tue, 20+8 ° /14 °

+14 °

Cholesbury, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind17 mph E

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Wed, 21+10 ° /14 °

+14 °

Cholesbury, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind9 mph NE

Humidity77%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Thu, 22+10 ° /12 °

+12 °

Cholesbury, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind10 mph N

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Fri, 23+9 ° /13 °

+13 °

Cholesbury, Friday, 23 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind14 mph N

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

2.3

+13 °

Cholesbury, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+18° (1995)

Coldest on record0° (1964)

Sun, 25+7 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Cholesbury, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record0° (1997)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Cholesbury, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1997)

Tue, 27+7 ° /13 °

1.5

+13 °

Cholesbury, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °

2.1

+13 °

Cholesbury, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (2003)

Thu, 29+6 ° /12 °

1.3

+12 °

Cholesbury, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record-3° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

1.4

+12 °

Cholesbury, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+19° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (1997)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

2.1

+12 °

Cholesbury, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (1997)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

2.2

+12 °

Cholesbury, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+17° (1999)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Cholesbury, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1985)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

1.4

+11 °

Cholesbury, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+5 ° /11 °

2.6

+11 °

Cholesbury, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+15° (2010)

Coldest on record-3° (1966)

Thu, 05+5 ° /11 °

1.5

+11 °

Cholesbury, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain25%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1968)

Fri, 06+5 ° /11 °

2.1

+11 °

Cholesbury, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (2014)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Cholesbury are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Cholesbury since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.