As of 14:57 BST

Weather in Abercrave / Abercraf

+15°

Abercrave / Abercraf, Wednesday, 7 October, 14:57

Partly cloudy. Feels like 14°C. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind16 mph N

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Abercrave / Abercraf: daytime temperatures averaging +12.3° and +6.6° overnight — that is 0.7° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 67 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 66 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+16°), the coolest 21 October (+2.8°).

+12.3°/+6.6°

Average day / night

−0.7°

Below average

10 / 8

Wet days / normal

67 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+13.9°	+13.3°	+0.5°
17 October – 26 October	+9.6°	+12.1°	-2.5°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.1°	—

October records over 66 years

+22.3°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.3°25 October 2010All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Brynamman (10.4 km away).

Thu, 08+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity74%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Fri, 09+8 ° /15 °

11.9

+15 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind17 mph SW

Humidity98%

Visibility2979 ft

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+7 ° /11 °

0.6

+11 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind18 mph W

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+5 ° /10 °

+10 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 10°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind6 mph W

Humidity70%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /15 °

8.6

+15 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind14 mph SE

Humidity99%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Tue, 13+9 ° /14 °

4.9

+14 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind15 mph SW

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Wed, 14+10 ° /14 °

1.1

+14 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind9 mph NE

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 15+9 ° /16 °

+16 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Thursday, 15 October

Mainly clear. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind9 mph SE

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Fri, 16+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind14 mph SE

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Sat, 17+7 ° /11 °

12.8

+11 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Saturday, 17 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind18 mph SW

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Sun, 18+7 ° /10 °

10.8

+10 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1003 mb

Wind19 mph S

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Mon, 19+5 ° /8 °

+8 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 8°C, low 5°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind8 mph N

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Tue, 20+3 ° /9 °

+9 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 9°C, low 3°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind15 mph NW

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Wed, 21+3 ° /10 °

0.4

+10 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 3°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind20 mph NW

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Thu, 22+3 ° /9 °

3.7

+9 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 3°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind10 mph N

Humidity100%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2011)

Coldest on record+1° (1987)

Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+15° (1995)

Coldest on record-1° (1987)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

5.6

+12 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.6 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+15° (2024)

Coldest on record-2° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (2003)

Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °

5.6

+12 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.6 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2003)

Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °

5.3

+12 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.3 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (2008)

Thu, 29+7 ° /11 °

5.1

+11 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (1983)

Fri, 30+7 ° /11 °

5.9

+11 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.9 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+16° (2015)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

6.3

+12 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6.3 mm

Chance of rain67%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1966)

Sun, 01+7 ° /11 °

5.6

+11 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.6 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+15° (2015)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °

6.5

+11 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall6.5 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °

4.6

+10 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.6 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+14° (2011)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Wed, 04+6 ° /10 °

3.4

+10 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+14° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1968)

Thu, 05+6 ° /10 °

3.9

+10 °

Abercrave / Abercraf, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1965)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Abercrave / Abercraf are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Abercrave / Abercraf since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.