As of 22:30 BST

Weather in Chapel Lawn

+7°

Chapel Lawn, Wednesday, 7 October, 22:30

Mainly clear. Feels like 4°C. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity84%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Chapel Lawn: daytime temperatures averaging +12.8° and +6.7° overnight — that is 0.5° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 27 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 35 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+16.8°), the coolest 18 October (+2.3°).

+12.8°/+6.7°

Average day / night

−0.5°

Below average

8 / 6

Wet days / normal

27 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+13.8°	+13.7°	+0.1°
17 October – 26 October	+11°	+12.4°	-1.4°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.3°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.9°1 October 2011All-time high

-3.3°17 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Craven Arms (13.4 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /13 °

1.7

+13 °

Chapel Lawn, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity67%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+9 ° /15 °

2.8

+15 °

Chapel Lawn, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity94%

Visibility5.6 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /11 °

+11 °

Chapel Lawn, Saturday, 10 October

Overcast. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity67%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /11 °

+11 °

Chapel Lawn, Sunday, 11 October

Partly cloudy. High 11°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind9 mph W

Humidity70%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Mon, 12+6 ° /15 °

1.5

+15 °

Chapel Lawn, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Tue, 13+7 ° /17 °

1.2

+17 °

Chapel Lawn, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind17 mph SW

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Wed, 14+7 ° /17 °

+17 °

Chapel Lawn, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind13 mph SW

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+5 ° /14 °

1.2

+14 °

Chapel Lawn, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind16 mph SW

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 16+4 ° /13 °

+13 °

Chapel Lawn, Friday, 16 October

Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind6 mph S

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Sat, 17+6 ° /10 °

9.1

+10 °

Chapel Lawn, Saturday, 17 October

Rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Sun, 18+2 ° /10 °

+10 °

Chapel Lawn, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 10°C, low 2°C.

Pressure1027 mb

Wind16 mph SW

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point0°C

Mon, 19+10 ° /14 °

0.9

+14 °

Chapel Lawn, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1008 mb

Wind24 mph NW

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Tue, 20+11 ° /15 °

0.4

+15 °

Chapel Lawn, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind26 mph W

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Wed, 21+7 ° /9 °

0.3

+9 °

Chapel Lawn, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind23 mph NW

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Thu, 22+4 ° /7 °

5.9

+7 °

Chapel Lawn, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 7°C, low 4°C.

Pressure995 mb

Wind20 mph W

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /12 °

1.9

+12 °

Chapel Lawn, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2011)

Coldest on record0° (1981)

Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Chapel Lawn, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record-1° (2002)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

2.2

+12 °

Chapel Lawn, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record-2° (1997)

Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °

2.4

+12 °

Chapel Lawn, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1997)

Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °

2.3

+12 °

Chapel Lawn, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2003)

Wed, 28+6 ° /12 °

2.2

+12 °

Chapel Lawn, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (1997)

Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °

1.9

+11 °

Chapel Lawn, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record-3° (1997)

Fri, 30+6 ° /12 °

2.2

+12 °

Chapel Lawn, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+17° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

3.2

+12 °

Chapel Lawn, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Sun, 01+6 ° /12 °

2.3

+12 °

Chapel Lawn, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record-3° (1988)

Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °

3.4

+11 °

Chapel Lawn, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

1.9

+11 °

Chapel Lawn, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+15° (1979)

Coldest on record-3° (2006)

Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °

1.6

+10 °

Chapel Lawn, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+15° (2010)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °

2.2

+10 °

Chapel Lawn, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+15° (2025)

Coldest on record-3° (1965)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Chapel Lawn are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Chapel Lawn since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.