As of 13:38 BST

Weather in Chapel Hill

+12°

Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 7 October, 13:38

Mainly clear. Feels like 11°C. High 12°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind7 mph NW

Humidity64%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Chapel Hill: daytime temperatures averaging +11.7° and +8.4° overnight — that is 0.1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 12 days (around 55 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 39 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+13.9°), the coolest 7 October (+4.9°).

+11.7°/+8.4°

Average day / night

+0.1°

Above average

12 / 7

Wet days / normal

55 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+12.3°	+12°	+0.3°
17 October – 26 October	+10.7°	+11°	-0.2°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+10.2°	—

October records over 66 years

+20.1°6 October 2025All-time high

+0.2°23 October 2023All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Peterhead (12 km away).

Thu, 08+6 ° /11 °

5.2

+11 °

Chapel Hill, Thursday, 8 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity73%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Fri, 09+8 ° /14 °

7.3

+14 °

Chapel Hill, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind11 mph W

Humidity71%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Sat, 10+7 ° /11 °

1.3

+11 °

Chapel Hill, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure996 mb

Wind20 mph W

Humidity70%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /11 °

1.4

+11 °

Chapel Hill, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity82%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Chapel Hill, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind19 mph S

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Tue, 13+10 ° /14 °

6.5

+14 °

Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 13 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind24 mph S

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Wed, 14+9 ° /12 °

+12 °

Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1027 mb

Wind10 mph S

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Thu, 15+10 ° /13 °

+13 °

Chapel Hill, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind24 mph S

Humidity81%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 16+12 ° /13 °

+13 °

Chapel Hill, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind27 mph SE

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Sat, 17+12 ° /13 °

+13 °

Chapel Hill, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1003 mb

Wind32 mph SE

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sun, 18+9 ° /11 °

+11 °

Chapel Hill, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 11°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind25 mph SE

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /12 °

13.7

+12 °

Chapel Hill, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind29 mph SE

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Tue, 20+9 ° /10 °

2.6

+10 °

Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 9°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind22 mph NW

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Wed, 21+9 ° /10 °

+10 °

Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind29 mph N

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 22+8 ° /9 °

8.8

+9 °

Chapel Hill, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind23 mph N

Humidity87%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /11 °

2.3

+11 °

Chapel Hill, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+15° (2008)

Coldest on record+0° (2023)

Sat, 24+8 ° /11 °

2.4

+11 °

Chapel Hill, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (1995)

Coldest on record+3° (1992)

Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °

2.7

+11 °

Chapel Hill, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+16° (1969)

Coldest on record+2° (1992)

Mon, 26+7 ° /11 °

2.5

+11 °

Chapel Hill, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (2022)

Coldest on record+2° (2019)

Tue, 27+7 ° /11 °

2.6

+11 °

Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+15° (2014)

Coldest on record+2° (2025)

Wed, 28+8 ° /11 °

3.3

+11 °

Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+15° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2008)

Thu, 29+7 ° /10 °

+10 °

Chapel Hill, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+15° (2024)

Coldest on record+3° (1988)

Fri, 30+7 ° /11 °

2.2

+11 °

Chapel Hill, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+15° (2006)

Coldest on record+1° (2019)

Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °

2.9

+11 °

Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.9 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+16° (2024)

Coldest on record+1° (2018)

Sun, 01+7 ° /10 °

2.8

+10 °

Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+16° (2024)

Coldest on record+1° (2018)

Mon, 02+7 ° /10 °

2.8

+10 °

Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+16° (1972)

Coldest on record+2° (2018)

Tue, 03+7 ° /10 °

3.3

+10 °

Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (1979)

Coldest on record+2° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /9 °

2.6

+9 °

Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high9°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+14° (2025)

Coldest on record+2° (1998)

Thu, 05+6 ° /9 °

2.5

+9 °

Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high9°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+15° (2020)

Coldest on record+2° (1998)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Chapel Hill are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Chapel Hill since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.