The month ahead in Chance Inn: daytime temperatures averaging +13° and +7° overnight — that is 0.9° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 5 days (around 18 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 39 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+17.3°), the coolest 18 October (+3.4°).
+13°/+7°
Average day / night
+0.9°
Above average
5 / 6
Wet days / normal
18 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+14.2°
+12.5°
+1.6°
17 October – 26 October
+11°
+11.3°
-0.3°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.3°
—
October records over 66 years
+20.3°1 October 1985All-time high
-1.9°30 October 1992All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Cupar (4.3 km away).
Thu, 08+5 ° /14 °5.3
+14 °
Chance Inn, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind7 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point4°C
Fri, 09+9 ° /15 °0.9
+15 °
Chance Inn, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sat, 10+9 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Chance Inn, Saturday, 10 October
Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Sun, 11+7 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Chance Inn, Sunday, 11 October
Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point4°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /15 °2.1
+15 °
Chance Inn, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind11 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 13+11 ° /17 °3.8
+17 °
Chance Inn, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 14+12 ° /15 °0.1
+15 °
Chance Inn, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind22 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Thu, 15+7 ° /15 °1.4
+15 °
Chance Inn, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind26 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Fri, 16+6 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Chance Inn, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind17 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Sat, 17+4 ° /9 °3.2
+9 °
Chance Inn, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1003 mb
Wind17 mph SW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Sun, 18+3 ° /10 °0
+10 °
Chance Inn, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 10°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Mon, 19+9 ° /14 °0.8
+14 °
Chance Inn, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Tue, 20+7 ° /14 °0.2
+14 °
Chance Inn, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure998 mb
Wind28 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Wed, 21+7 ° /10 °0.1
+10 °
Chance Inn, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure995 mb
Wind29 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Thu, 22+4 ° /9 °0.2
+9 °
Chance Inn, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 4°C.
Pressure989 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point1°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /11 °1.9
+11 °
Chance Inn, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+17° (1996)
Coldest on record-1° (2023)
Sat, 24+7 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Chance Inn, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+16° (1995)
Coldest on record+1° (1964)
Sun, 25+6 ° /11 °2.5
+11 °
Chance Inn, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+16° (1969)
Coldest on record+0° (1992)
Mon, 26+7 ° /11 °2.3
+11 °
Chance Inn, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record+0° (1992)
Tue, 27+7 ° /11 °2.5
+11 °
Chance Inn, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+0° (1993)
Wed, 28+7 ° /11 °2.9
+11 °
Chance Inn, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /10 °2.1
+10 °
Chance Inn, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+15° (2024)
Coldest on record-1° (2018)
Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °2.6
+11 °
Chance Inn, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1992)
Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Chance Inn, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (2018)
Sun, 01+6 ° /10 °2.6
+10 °
Chance Inn, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+15° (2014)
Coldest on record+1° (1962)
Mon, 02+5 ° /10 °2.6
+10 °
Chance Inn, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+15° (1971)
Coldest on record-2° (1998)
Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °3.2
+10 °
Chance Inn, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (1966)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °2
+10 °
Chance Inn, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+14° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1968)
Thu, 05+5 ° /9 °2
+9 °
Chance Inn, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+15° (2003)
Coldest on record-1° (1984)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Chance Inn are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Chance Inn since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.