The month ahead in Cerney Wick: daytime temperatures averaging +15.6° and +9.1° overnight — that is 1.6° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 5 days (around 60 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 35 mm. The warmest day should be 21 October (+18.5°), the coolest 18 October (+6°).
+15.6°/+9.1°
Average day / night
+1.6°
Above average
5 / 6
Wet days / normal
60 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+15.3°
+14.5°
+0.8°
17 October – 26 October
+16°
+13.2°
+2.9°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.9°
—
October records over 66 years
+25.2°1 October 2011All-time high
-2.8°16 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Cricklade (3.6 km away).
Thu, 08+7 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Cerney Wick, Thursday, 8 October
Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point4°C
Fri, 09+10 ° /17 °2.2
+17 °
Cerney Wick, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind20 mph SW
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point13°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Cerney Wick, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+7 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Cerney Wick, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind8 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Mon, 12+9 ° /16 °0.2
+16 °
Cerney Wick, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind17 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Tue, 13+10 ° /17 °14.4
+17 °
Cerney Wick, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind16 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Wed, 14+8 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Cerney Wick, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1026 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Thu, 15+8 ° /15 °0.2
+15 °
Cerney Wick, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Fri, 16+12 ° /16 °31.9
+16 °
Cerney Wick, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind24 mph SW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Sat, 17+7 ° /12 °1.4
+12 °
Cerney Wick, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind20 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Sun, 18+6 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Cerney Wick, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind17 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Mon, 19+11 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Cerney Wick, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind20 mph SW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Tue, 20+13 ° /18 °0
+18 °
Cerney Wick, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 18°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1027 mb
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Wed, 21+11 ° /19 °0
+19 °
Cerney Wick, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear sky. High 19°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1027 mb
Wind8 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Thu, 22+10 ° /18 °0
+18 °
Cerney Wick, Thursday, 22 October
Clear sky. High 18°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind7 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °1.6
+13 °
Cerney Wick, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.6 mm
Chance of rain27%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record+1° (1981)
Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °2.4
+13 °
Cerney Wick, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+18° (1996)
Coldest on record0° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /13 °1.6
+13 °
Cerney Wick, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.6 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+17° (2013)
Coldest on record-1° (2010)
Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °1.5
+13 °
Cerney Wick, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.5 mm
Chance of rain30%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record-1° (1997)
Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °1.9
+13 °
Cerney Wick, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °2.2
+13 °
Cerney Wick, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record+0° (2019)
Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °1.5
+12 °
Cerney Wick, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.5 mm
Chance of rain28%
Warmest on record+20° (2022)
Coldest on record-2° (1997)
Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °2
+12 °
Cerney Wick, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+18° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (1983)
Sat, 31+7 ° /13 °3.1
+13 °
Cerney Wick, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1997)
Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °2.2
+12 °
Cerney Wick, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1988)
Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °3.8
+12 °
Cerney Wick, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2018)
Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °1.6
+11 °
Cerney Wick, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.6 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+15° (1994)
Coldest on record-2° (1985)
Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °2.1
+11 °
Cerney Wick, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1966)
Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °2.1
+11 °
Cerney Wick, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain30%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Cerney Wick are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Cerney Wick since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.