As of 10:09 BST

Weather in Cefn-y-Crib

+9°

Cefn-y-Crib, Thursday, 8 October, 10:09

Mainly clear. Feels like 7°C. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity87%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Cefn-y-Crib: daytime temperatures averaging +13.3° and +7.4° overnight — that is 0.2° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 6 days (around 32 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 56 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+17.1°), the coolest 17 October (+1.9°).

+13.3°/+7.4°

Average day / night

−0.2°

Below average

6 / 7

Wet days / normal

32 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+13.1°	+13.9°	-0.8°
18 October – 27 October	+13.7°	+12.7°	+1°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+11.5°	—

October records over 66 years

+24°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.4°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Abercarn (5 km away).

Fri, 09+9 ° /14 °

3.9

+14 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind19 mph SW

Humidity98%

Visibility2.2 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Saturday, 10 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind15 mph W

Humidity63%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °

0.1

+12 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind6 mph W

Humidity70%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+9 ° /16 °

6.7

+16 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Monday, 12 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind11 mph S

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Tue, 13+11 ° /17 °

3.3

+17 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind16 mph SW

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point15°C

Wed, 14+9 ° /15 °

+15 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind12 mph SW

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+6 ° /11 °

+11 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Thursday, 15 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind19 mph NW

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Fri, 16+4 ° /11 °

+11 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Friday, 16 October

Clear sky. High 11°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Sat, 17+2 ° /10 °

+10 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 10°C, low 2°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind11 mph NE

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point1°C

Sun, 18+5 ° /10 °

1.2

+10 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind10 mph N

Humidity77%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /14 °

0.1

+14 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind7 mph NE

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 20+11 ° /15 °

0.5

+15 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind11 mph SE

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Wed, 21+10 ° /15 °

+15 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind14 mph SE

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 22+9 ° /15 °

+15 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind15 mph E

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Friday, 23 October

Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind17 mph NE

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+8 ° /13 °

4.4

+13 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record+0° (1987)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

3.8

+12 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record-2° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

3.1

+13 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °

3.7

+13 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.7 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °

4.3

+12 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.3 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (2012)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

3.8

+12 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

4.2

+12 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (2001)

Coldest on record-1° (1983)

Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °

5.2

+12 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (1992)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

3.1

+11 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.6

+11 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record-3° (2006)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

3.1

+11 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Fri, 06+6 ° /11 °

2.3

+11 °

Cefn-y-Crib, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (2015)

Coldest on record0° (2006)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Cefn-y-Crib are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Cefn-y-Crib since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.