The month ahead in Cartmel Fell: daytime temperatures averaging +12.2° and +6.8° overnight — that is 0.1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 80 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 64 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+14.7°), the coolest 17 October (+2.7°).
+12.2°/+6.8°
Average day / night
+0.1°
Above average
8 / 8
Wet days / normal
80 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
8 October – 17 October
+12.1°
+12.5°
-0.4°
18 October – 27 October
+12.2°
+11.3°
+0.9°
28 October – 6 November
near average
+10.1°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.5°1 October 1985All-time high
-2.6°18 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Windermere (10.4 km away).
Fri, 09+9 ° /14 °22.2
+14 °
Cartmel Fell, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point9°C
Sat, 10+7 ° /10 °9.8
+10 °
Cartmel Fell, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility4.7 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Cartmel Fell, Sunday, 11 October
Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind4 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+5 ° /14 °4.1
+14 °
Cartmel Fell, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind6 mph SE
Humidity94%
Visibility3.4 mi
Dew point11°C
Tue, 13+10 ° /15 °13.1
+15 °
Cartmel Fell, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 14+8 ° /14 °8.1
+14 °
Cartmel Fell, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind21 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Thu, 15+5 ° /10 °3.6
+10 °
Cartmel Fell, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Fri, 16+5 ° /10 °0.1
+10 °
Cartmel Fell, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind14 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Sat, 17+3 ° /10 °0
+10 °
Cartmel Fell, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 10°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind6 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Sun, 18+8 ° /9 °9.6
+9 °
Cartmel Fell, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind11 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Mon, 19+8 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Cartmel Fell, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1032 mb
Wind8 mph N
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Tue, 20+6 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Cartmel Fell, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1033 mb
Wind4 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Wed, 21+7 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Cartmel Fell, Wednesday, 21 October
Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1032 mb
Wind2 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 22+8 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Cartmel Fell, Thursday, 22 October
Clear sky. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind5 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Fri, 23+9 ° /13 °0.7
+13 °
Cartmel Fell, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind5 mph NE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 24+7 ° /11 °5.3
+11 °
Cartmel Fell, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.3 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+16° (1995)
Coldest on record-2° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °6
+11 °
Cartmel Fell, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+15° (2024)
Coldest on record0° (1993)
Mon, 26+7 ° /11 °3.9
+11 °
Cartmel Fell, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1981)
Tue, 27+7 ° /11 °6.1
+11 °
Cartmel Fell, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6.1 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+7 ° /11 °5.8
+11 °
Cartmel Fell, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.8 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /10 °4.2
+10 °
Cartmel Fell, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.2 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °4.6
+11 °
Cartmel Fell, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °5.4
+11 °
Cartmel Fell, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.4 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (2018)
Sun, 01+6 ° /10 °6.7
+10 °
Cartmel Fell, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall6.7 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1985)
Mon, 02+6 ° /10 °5.4
+10 °
Cartmel Fell, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall5.4 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+14° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1986)
Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °6.3
+10 °
Cartmel Fell, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall6.3 mm
Chance of rain70%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record-1° (1966)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °4.3
+10 °
Cartmel Fell, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+14° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1968)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °4.1
+10 °
Cartmel Fell, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (2012)
Fri, 06+5 ° /9 °3.3
+9 °
Cartmel Fell, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.3 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record0° (1984)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Cartmel Fell are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Cartmel Fell since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.