As of 15:59 BST

Weather in Carsethorn

+12°

Carsethorn, Thursday, 8 October, 15:59

Rain. Feels like 11°C. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind12 mph SW

Humidity79%

Visibility5.8 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Carsethorn: daytime temperatures averaging +12.8° and +8.5° overnight — that is 0.4° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 47 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 51 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+15.5°), the coolest 17 October (+5.3°).

+12.8°/+8.5°

Average day / night

+0.4°

Above average

9 / 7

Wet days / normal

47 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+12.9°	+12.8°	+0.1°
18 October – 27 October	+12.8°	+11.7°	+1.1°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+10.6°	—

October records over 66 years

+21.1°1 October 1985All-time high

-2.7°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Silloth (13.2 km away).

Fri, 09+10 ° /14 °

6.6

+14 °

Carsethorn, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity75%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Sat, 10+7 ° /11 °

1.3

+11 °

Carsethorn, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity70%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Carsethorn, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind2 mph W

Humidity70%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+8 ° /15 °

2.7

+15 °

Carsethorn, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity91%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point12°C

Tue, 13+13 ° /16 °

8.4

+16 °

Carsethorn, Tuesday, 13 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind24 mph S

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Wed, 14+9 ° /15 °

11.2

+15 °

Carsethorn, Wednesday, 14 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind28 mph SW

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Thu, 15+8 ° /11 °

2.4

+11 °

Carsethorn, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind23 mph W

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Fri, 16+8 ° /11 °

+11 °

Carsethorn, Friday, 16 October

Partly cloudy. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind15 mph W

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Sat, 17+5 ° /11 °

2.5

+11 °

Carsethorn, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind7 mph NE

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sun, 18+8 ° /12 °

4.7

+12 °

Carsethorn, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind12 mph NE

Humidity92%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /12 °

0.2

+12 °

Carsethorn, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1032 mb

Wind14 mph NE

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 20+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Carsethorn, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1033 mb

Wind9 mph SW

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Wed, 21+10 ° /14 °

+14 °

Carsethorn, Wednesday, 21 October

Mainly clear. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1032 mb

Wind5 mph W

Humidity79%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 22+10 ° /13 °

+13 °

Carsethorn, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind9 mph SW

Humidity80%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 23+11 ° /13 °

+13 °

Carsethorn, Friday, 23 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind10 mph SW

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °

4.1

+12 °

Carsethorn, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+16° (1995)

Coldest on record0° (1983)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

3.8

+12 °

Carsethorn, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+16° (2024)

Coldest on record+1° (1993)

Mon, 26+8 ° /11 °

+11 °

Carsethorn, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1993)

Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Carsethorn, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /11 °

4.5

+11 °

Carsethorn, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °

3.2

+11 °

Carsethorn, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1983)

Fri, 30+7 ° /11 °

3.6

+11 °

Carsethorn, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Carsethorn, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1992)

Sun, 01+7 ° /11 °

4.4

+11 °

Carsethorn, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+15° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1985)

Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °

3.9

+11 °

Carsethorn, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+15° (1969)

Coldest on record-1° (1986)

Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °

4.1

+10 °

Carsethorn, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-2° (1966)

Wed, 04+6 ° /10 °

2.6

+10 °

Carsethorn, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+14° (2010)

Coldest on record-2° (1968)

Thu, 05+6 ° /10 °

2.8

+10 °

Carsethorn, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1984)

Fri, 06+6 ° /10 °

2.2

+10 °

Carsethorn, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (2012)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Carsethorn are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Carsethorn since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.