The month ahead in Alum Waters: daytime temperatures averaging +12.2° and +6.6° overnight — that is 0.2° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 32 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 32 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+16.8°), the coolest 22 October (+3.3°).
+12.2°/+6.6°
Average day / night
−0.2°
Below average
7 / 6
Wet days / normal
32 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+13.2°
+12.8°
+0.3°
17 October – 26 October
+10.5°
+11.5°
-1°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.5°
—
October records over 66 years
+23.8°1 October 2011All-time high
-3.2°18 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Ushaw Moor (1.3 km away).
Thu, 08+4 ° /12 °2.6
+12 °
Alum Waters, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point3°C
Fri, 09+9 ° /14 °3.8
+14 °
Alum Waters, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1003 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /11 °0.2
+11 °
Alum Waters, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Alum Waters, Sunday, 11 October
Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Mon, 12+4 ° /14 °0.2
+14 °
Alum Waters, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Tue, 13+8 ° /17 °3
+17 °
Alum Waters, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind18 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Wed, 14+7 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Alum Waters, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind17 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Thu, 15+7 ° /13 °0.6
+13 °
Alum Waters, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind20 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Fri, 16+5 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Alum Waters, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind12 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Sat, 17+6 ° /9 °9.4
+9 °
Alum Waters, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 9°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Sun, 18+5 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Alum Waters, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 11°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point1°C
Mon, 19+9 ° /13 °2.7
+13 °
Alum Waters, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind22 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 20+9 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Alum Waters, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind27 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 21+7 ° /9 °0.2
+9 °
Alum Waters, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 7°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind27 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point1°C
Thu, 22+3 ° /7 °2.1
+7 °
Alum Waters, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 7°C, low 3°C.
Pressure989 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /11 °1.6
+11 °
Alum Waters, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.6 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+17° (1996)
Coldest on record0° (1993)
Sat, 24+6 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
Alum Waters, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record0° (1987)
Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °2.7
+11 °
Alum Waters, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (1969)
Coldest on record+0° (2010)
Mon, 26+7 ° /11 °1.3
+11 °
Alum Waters, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.3 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1992)
Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
Alum Waters, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+6 ° /11 °2.3
+11 °
Alum Waters, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (2008)
Thu, 29+5 ° /11 °1.7
+11 °
Alum Waters, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall1.7 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+16° (1984)
Coldest on record-2° (1997)
Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °1.9
+11 °
Alum Waters, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (2008)
Sat, 31+6 ° /11 °2.2
+11 °
Alum Waters, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1992)
Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °2.6
+11 °
Alum Waters, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1962)
Mon, 02+6 ° /10 °2.9
+10 °
Alum Waters, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1998)
Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °2.9
+10 °
Alum Waters, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+15° (1979)
Coldest on record-2° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °1.9
+10 °
Alum Waters, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (2012)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °2.2
+10 °
Alum Waters, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (1968)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Alum Waters are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Alum Waters since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.