The month ahead in Carrickfergus: daytime temperatures averaging +12.6° and +7° overnight — that is 0.1° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 60 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 56 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+16.3°), the coolest 8 October (+3.2°).
+12.6°/+7°
Average day / night
−0.1°
Below average
10 / 8
Wet days / normal
60 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+13.5°
+13.1°
+0.4°
17 October – 26 October
+11.1°
+12.1°
-0.9°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.2°
—
October records over 66 years
+20.5°9 October 2023All-time high
+1°30 October 2018All-time low
Thu, 08+3 ° /13 °7.4
+13 °
Carrickfergus, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind8 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Fri, 09+10 ° /13 °4.7
+13 °
Carrickfergus, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point9°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /11 °0.6
+11 °
Carrickfergus, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind20 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+7 ° /12 °0.2
+12 °
Carrickfergus, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind4 mph W
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Mon, 12+10 ° /16 °3.4
+16 °
Carrickfergus, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind16 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Tue, 13+10 ° /16 °3
+16 °
Carrickfergus, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind17 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 14+10 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Carrickfergus, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Thu, 15+7 ° /14 °3.5
+14 °
Carrickfergus, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind21 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Fri, 16+6 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Carrickfergus, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind12 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sat, 17+7 ° /11 °2.3
+11 °
Carrickfergus, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind19 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Sun, 18+5 ° /13 °10.8
+13 °
Carrickfergus, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind30 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Mon, 19+7 ° /11 °5.8
+11 °
Carrickfergus, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure986 mb
Wind27 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+5 ° /10 °1.1
+10 °
Carrickfergus, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 5°C.
Pressure990 mb
Wind18 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Wed, 21+5 ° /9 °0.3
+9 °
Carrickfergus, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind17 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Thu, 22+5 ° /13 °16.6
+13 °
Carrickfergus, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind26 mph SE
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+9 ° /12 °3.1
+12 °
Carrickfergus, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (1971)
Coldest on record+3° (1987)
Sat, 24+9 ° /12 °4.6
+12 °
Carrickfergus, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+3° (1987)
Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °3.6
+12 °
Carrickfergus, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (1969)
Coldest on record+3° (2019)
Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °3.2
+12 °
Carrickfergus, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (2021)
Coldest on record+4° (2019)
Tue, 27+9 ° /12 °4.5
+12 °
Carrickfergus, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.5 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+4° (1992)
Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °4.1
+12 °
Carrickfergus, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+16° (2009)
Coldest on record+3° (2008)
Thu, 29+8 ° /11 °3.2
+11 °
Carrickfergus, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (2008)
Fri, 30+8 ° /12 °3.3
+12 °
Carrickfergus, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.3 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+15° (1968)
Coldest on record+1° (2018)
Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °4.4
+12 °
Carrickfergus, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record+3° (1992)
Sun, 01+8 ° /11 °4.1
+11 °
Carrickfergus, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (2007)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Mon, 02+8 ° /11 °3.7
+11 °
Carrickfergus, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.7 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+16° (1971)
Coldest on record+2° (1986)
Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °2.8
+11 °
Carrickfergus, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+16° (1979)
Coldest on record+2° (1966)
Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °2.7
+11 °
Carrickfergus, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+15° (1978)
Coldest on record+1° (1968)
Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °2.9
+11 °
Carrickfergus, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+3° (2000)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Carrickfergus are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Carrickfergus since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.