As of 00:56 BST

Weather in Capel Uchaf

+8°

Capel Uchaf, Thursday, 8 October, 00:56

Mainly clear. Feels like 4°C. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind20 mph NW

Humidity79%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Capel Uchaf: daytime temperatures averaging +13.6° and +10.6° overnight — that is 0.2° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 13 days (around 106 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 49 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+17.5°), the coolest 23 October (+7.8°).

+13.6°/+10.6°

Average day / night

+0.2°

Above average

13 / 8

Wet days / normal

106 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+14.6°	+13.7°	+0.9°
18 October – 27 October	+11.9°	+12.7°	-0.8°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+11.6°	—

October records over 66 years

+21.7°10 October 2018All-time high

-1.4°30 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Caernarfon (13.8 km away).

Fri, 09+14 ° /16 °

+16 °

Capel Uchaf, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind21 mph W

Humidity74%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point10°C

Sat, 10+13 ° /14 °

4.7

+14 °

Capel Uchaf, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind22 mph W

Humidity76%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Sun, 11+12 ° /13 °

0.7

+13 °

Capel Uchaf, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity70%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+12 ° /18 °

3.2

+18 °

Capel Uchaf, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind23 mph S

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Tue, 13+11 ° /17 °

4.3

+17 °

Capel Uchaf, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind23 mph S

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Wed, 14+13 ° /16 °

+16 °

Capel Uchaf, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind20 mph S

Humidity87%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Thu, 15+10 ° /15 °

4.8

+15 °

Capel Uchaf, Thursday, 15 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind27 mph S

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Fri, 16+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Capel Uchaf, Friday, 16 October

Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind11 mph S

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Sat, 17+9 ° /11 °

14.8

+11 °

Capel Uchaf, Saturday, 17 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Sun, 18+8 ° /12 °

3.1

+12 °

Capel Uchaf, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind20 mph SW

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Mon, 19+13 ° /15 °

+15 °

Capel Uchaf, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind25 mph SW

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Tue, 20+12 ° /15 °

2.6

+15 °

Capel Uchaf, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind26 mph NW

Humidity87%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Wed, 21+9 ° /11 °

3.9

+11 °

Capel Uchaf, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind28 mph NW

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 22+8 ° /9 °

12.9

+9 °

Capel Uchaf, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 8°C.

Pressure994 mb

Wind26 mph NW

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Fri, 23+8 ° /9 °

9.1

+9 °

Capel Uchaf, Friday, 23 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind26 mph NW

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+9 ° /13 °

3.8

+13 °

Capel Uchaf, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record+3° (2002)

Sun, 25+9 ° /12 °

4.1

+12 °

Capel Uchaf, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (2024)

Coldest on record+0° (2010)

Mon, 26+9 ° /12 °

3.1

+12 °

Capel Uchaf, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+2° (1997)

Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °

+13 °

Capel Uchaf, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record+2° (1962)

Wed, 28+9 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Capel Uchaf, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record+3° (2008)

Thu, 29+8 ° /12 °

3.4

+12 °

Capel Uchaf, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record+0° (2018)

Fri, 30+8 ° /12 °

3.4

+12 °

Capel Uchaf, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2009)

Coldest on record-1° (2018)

Sat, 31+9 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Capel Uchaf, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °

4.6

+12 °

Capel Uchaf, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.6 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+15° (2015)

Coldest on record+1° (1988)

Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °

4.7

+12 °

Capel Uchaf, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.7 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1986)

Tue, 03+8 ° /11 °

4.3

+11 °

Capel Uchaf, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.3 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record+0° (2006)

Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °

2.7

+11 °

Capel Uchaf, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+15° (2010)

Coldest on record0° (1968)

Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °

3.8

+11 °

Capel Uchaf, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record+2° (1965)

Fri, 06+8 ° /11 °

2.8

+11 °

Capel Uchaf, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record+3° (1964)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Capel Uchaf are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Capel Uchaf since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.