The month ahead in Calder Vale: daytime temperatures averaging +12.4° and +7.6° overnight — that is 0.6° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 11 days (around 91 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 59 mm. The warmest day should be 16 October (+15.6°), the coolest 21 October (+4°).
+12.4°/+7.6°
Average day / night
−0.6°
Below average
11 / 8
Wet days / normal
91 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+13.6°
+13.4°
+0.2°
17 October – 26 October
+10.2°
+12.2°
-1.9°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.1°
—
October records over 66 years
+23°1 October 2011All-time high
-2.1°30 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Garstang (3.9 km away).
Thu, 08+6 ° /14 °4
+14 °
Calder Vale, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Fri, 09+10 ° /14 °18.5
+14 °
Calder Vale, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point9°C
Sat, 10+9 ° /11 °12.4
+11 °
Calder Vale, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind22 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Sun, 11+8 ° /12 °0.6
+12 °
Calder Vale, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /14 °1.1
+14 °
Calder Vale, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Tue, 13+10 ° /15 °2.1
+15 °
Calder Vale, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind13 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Wed, 14+7 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Calder Vale, Wednesday, 14 October
Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind5 mph E
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Thu, 15+8 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Calder Vale, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind10 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Fri, 16+10 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Calder Vale, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sat, 17+8 ° /11 °7.7
+11 °
Calder Vale, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind17 mph SE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sun, 18+6 ° /12 °9.9
+12 °
Calder Vale, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind21 mph SE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Mon, 19+7 ° /11 °4.2
+11 °
Calder Vale, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+5 ° /8 °23.3
+8 °
Calder Vale, Tuesday, 20 October
Heavy rain. High 8°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Wed, 21+4 ° /9 °0.7
+9 °
Calder Vale, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Thu, 22+6 ° /10 °1
+10 °
Calder Vale, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind12 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °3.6
+12 °
Calder Vale, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+17° (1996)
Coldest on record+1° (1993)
Sat, 24+8 ° /12 °5.1
+12 °
Calder Vale, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5.1 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record+1° (1993)
Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °5.4
+12 °
Calder Vale, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5.4 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record+3° (2010)
Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °3.8
+12 °
Calder Vale, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1981)
Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °5.2
+12 °
Calder Vale, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+0° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °5.7
+12 °
Calder Vale, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5.7 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (2019)
Thu, 29+7 ° /11 °3.7
+11 °
Calder Vale, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.7 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (2018)
Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °4
+12 °
Calder Vale, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (2018)
Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °4.4
+12 °
Calder Vale, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record+1° (1974)
Sun, 01+7 ° /11 °5.4
+11 °
Calder Vale, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.4 mm
Chance of rain67%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record+1° (1988)
Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °6
+11 °
Calder Vale, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+0° (2006)
Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °5.5
+11 °
Calder Vale, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.5 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record+0° (1985)
Wed, 04+7 ° /10 °3.9
+10 °
Calder Vale, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record0° (1968)
Thu, 05+6 ° /10 °3.8
+10 °
Calder Vale, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record+0° (1984)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Calder Vale are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Calder Vale since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.