As of 11:43 BST

Weather in Caerwys

+11°

Caerwys, Wednesday, 7 October, 11:43

Overcast. Feels like 10°C. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind6 mph NW

Humidity85%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Caerwys: daytime temperatures averaging +13.2° and +7.8° overnight — that is 0.2° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 12 days (around 51 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 40 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+17°), the coolest 22 October (+4.4°).

+13.2°/+7.8°

Average day / night

−0.2°

Below average

12 / 7

Wet days / normal

51 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.7°	+13.9°	+0.8°
17 October – 26 October	+10.8°	+12.7°	-1.9°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.7°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.2°1 October 1985All-time high

-0.7°18 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — St Asaph / Llanelwy (9.3 km away).

Thu, 08+9 ° /15 °

1.6

+15 °

Caerwys, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Fri, 09+11 ° /16 °

+16 °

Caerwys, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity88%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /12 °

3.4

+12 °

Caerwys, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind20 mph W

Humidity78%

Visibility5.0 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+8 ° /13 °

4.2

+13 °

Caerwys, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /17 °

3.4

+17 °

Caerwys, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind15 mph S

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 13+11 ° /16 °

2.2

+16 °

Caerwys, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /14 °

+14 °

Caerwys, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind8 mph NW

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 15+9 ° /17 °

+17 °

Caerwys, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind10 mph SE

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Fri, 16+8 ° /16 °

+16 °

Caerwys, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind12 mph SE

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Sat, 17+7 ° /12 °

1.8

+12 °

Caerwys, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind11 mph SE

Humidity94%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sun, 18+6 ° /13 °

5.6

+13 °

Caerwys, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1003 mb

Wind16 mph SE

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Mon, 19+5 ° /11 °

2.8

+11 °

Caerwys, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Tue, 20+6 ° /10 °

14.6

+10 °

Caerwys, Tuesday, 20 October

Rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Wed, 21+7 ° /10 °

0.3

+10 °

Caerwys, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind21 mph NW

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Thu, 22+4 ° /9 °

2.2

+9 °

Caerwys, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind17 mph NW

Humidity92%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+9 ° /13 °

1.9

+13 °

Caerwys, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+17° (2017)

Coldest on record+3° (1987)

Sat, 24+9 ° /13 °

2.6

+13 °

Caerwys, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+17° (1996)

Coldest on record+2° (1987)

Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °

3.4

+12 °

Caerwys, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+17° (2024)

Coldest on record0° (2010)

Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °

2.6

+12 °

Caerwys, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record+2° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °

3.1

+13 °

Caerwys, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record+2° (2003)

Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Caerwys, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record+3° (1997)

Thu, 29+8 ° /12 °

2.4

+12 °

Caerwys, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Fri, 30+8 ° /12 °

2.4

+12 °

Caerwys, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Caerwys, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °

3.2

+12 °

Caerwys, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+17° (2020)

Coldest on record+1° (1988)

Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °

3.7

+12 °

Caerwys, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.7 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1986)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

3.1

+11 °

Caerwys, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (1979)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °

1.8

+11 °

Caerwys, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (1967)

Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Caerwys, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record+0° (1965)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Caerwys are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Caerwys since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.