The month ahead in Burn Naze: daytime temperatures averaging +13.8° and +10.7° overnight — that is 0.8° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 13 days (around 84 mm), against a normal of 9 days and 68 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+16.4°), the coolest 22 October (+7.7°).
+13.8°/+10.7°
Average day / night
+0.8°
Above average
13 / 9
Wet days / normal
84 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+14.5°
+13.5°
+1°
17 October – 26 October
+12.7°
+12.3°
+0.4°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.3°
—
October records over 66 years
+22°1 October 1985All-time high
-0.3°30 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Cleveleys (1.7 km away).
Thu, 08+9 ° /15 °3.8
+15 °
Burn Naze, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Fri, 09+13 ° /16 °10.4
+16 °
Burn Naze, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind25 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point9°C
Sat, 10+12 ° /14 °11.7
+14 °
Burn Naze, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind30 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+12 ° /13 °1.8
+13 °
Burn Naze, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+10 ° /16 °1.6
+16 °
Burn Naze, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind21 mph S
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Tue, 13+14 ° /16 °4.2
+16 °
Burn Naze, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 14°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind25 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Wed, 14+13 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Burn Naze, Wednesday, 14 October
Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1028 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Thu, 15+11 ° /14 °1.8
+14 °
Burn Naze, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind22 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Fri, 16+11 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Burn Naze, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sat, 17+10 ° /13 °1.6
+13 °
Burn Naze, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Sun, 18+8 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Burn Naze, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind33 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Mon, 19+11 ° /15 °14
+15 °
Burn Naze, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Pressure994 mb
Wind33 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+9 ° /12 °11.9
+12 °
Burn Naze, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure995 mb
Wind30 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Wed, 21+11 ° /12 °9.3
+12 °
Burn Naze, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind23 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Thu, 22+8 ° /12 °5.9
+12 °
Burn Naze, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind30 mph SE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+9 ° /12 °4.6
+12 °
Burn Naze, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+16° (1996)
Coldest on record+3° (1993)
Sat, 24+9 ° /12 °5.5
+12 °
Burn Naze, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.5 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record+3° (1993)
Sun, 25+9 ° /12 °6.1
+12 °
Burn Naze, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall6.1 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+16° (2024)
Coldest on record+4° (2010)
Mon, 26+9 ° /12 °4.4
+12 °
Burn Naze, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain68%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Tue, 27+9 ° /12 °6.4
+12 °
Burn Naze, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall6.4 mm
Chance of rain68%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Wed, 28+9 ° /12 °6.2
+12 °
Burn Naze, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall6.2 mm
Chance of rain68%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+3° (2018)
Thu, 29+8 ° /11 °4.6
+11 °
Burn Naze, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (2018)
Fri, 30+8 ° /12 °4.7
+12 °
Burn Naze, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.7 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (2018)
Sat, 31+9 ° /12 °4.8
+12 °
Burn Naze, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Sun, 01+8 ° /11 °6.2
+11 °
Burn Naze, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall6.2 mm
Chance of rain68%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record+3° (1988)
Mon, 02+8 ° /11 °6.6
+11 °
Burn Naze, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall6.6 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1986)
Tue, 03+8 ° /11 °6.7
+11 °
Burn Naze, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall6.7 mm
Chance of rain73%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record+2° (1985)
Wed, 04+8 ° /11 °4.8
+11 °
Burn Naze, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+1° (1968)
Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °4.8
+11 °
Burn Naze, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record+2° (1984)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Burn Naze are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Burn Naze since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.