The month ahead in Brownlow Fold: daytime temperatures averaging +12.8° and +7.8° overnight — that is 0° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 13 days (around 82 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 46 mm. The warmest day should be 16 October (+16.6°), the coolest 21 October (+4.8°).
+12.8°/+7.8°
Average day / night
+0°
Above average
13 / 8
Wet days / normal
82 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+14.2°
+13.3°
+0.9°
17 October – 26 October
+10.6°
+11.9°
-1.3°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.8°
—
October records over 66 years
+24.3°1 October 2011All-time high
-4°17 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Bolton (1.4 km away).
Thu, 08+6 ° /15 °2
+15 °
Brownlow Fold, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+10 ° /14 °19.2
+14 °
Brownlow Fold, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point13°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /11 °9.9
+11 °
Brownlow Fold, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind20 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Sun, 11+8 ° /12 °1.9
+12 °
Brownlow Fold, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /14 °1.4
+14 °
Brownlow Fold, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind12 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /15 °1.7
+15 °
Brownlow Fold, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind11 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Wed, 14+8 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Brownlow Fold, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind5 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Thu, 15+9 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Brownlow Fold, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind8 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Fri, 16+10 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Brownlow Fold, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind11 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Sat, 17+9 ° /12 °4.6
+12 °
Brownlow Fold, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind11 mph SE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sun, 18+7 ° /13 °3.8
+13 °
Brownlow Fold, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind14 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Mon, 19+8 ° /12 °5.3
+12 °
Brownlow Fold, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind8 mph N
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Tue, 20+5 ° /9 °26.8
+9 °
Brownlow Fold, Tuesday, 20 October
Heavy rain. High 9°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Wed, 21+5 ° /9 °2.2
+9 °
Brownlow Fold, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Thu, 22+6 ° /9 °1.3
+9 °
Brownlow Fold, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /12 °2.8
+12 °
Brownlow Fold, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+17° (1971)
Coldest on record+0° (1993)
Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °3.5
+12 °
Brownlow Fold, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °4
+12 °
Brownlow Fold, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record+0° (2003)
Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °3.3
+12 °
Brownlow Fold, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.3 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1981)
Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °4.4
+12 °
Brownlow Fold, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+6 ° /11 °3.9
+11 °
Brownlow Fold, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °3.4
+11 °
Brownlow Fold, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (1984)
Coldest on record-2° (2008)
Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °2.9
+11 °
Brownlow Fold, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °3.4
+11 °
Brownlow Fold, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (1974)
Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °4.2
+11 °
Brownlow Fold, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.2 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °4.3
+11 °
Brownlow Fold, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1986)
Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °3.5
+10 °
Brownlow Fold, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+16° (1979)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °2.7
+10 °
Brownlow Fold, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+15° (1971)
Coldest on record-2° (1965)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °3.5
+10 °
Brownlow Fold, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (2012)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Brownlow Fold are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Brownlow Fold since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.