As of 12:20 BST

Weather in Ystrad Fawr

+14°

Ystrad Fawr, Thursday, 8 October, 12:20

Overcast. Feels like 13°C. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity66%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Ystrad Fawr: daytime temperatures averaging +14.4° and +10.1° overnight — that is 0.5° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 50 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 58 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+17.1°), the coolest 17 October (+4.8°).

+14.4°/+10.1°

Average day / night

+0.5°

Above average

10 / 7

Wet days / normal

50 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+14.6°	+14.2°	+0.4°
18 October – 27 October	+14.1°	+13.1°	+0.9°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+12°	—

October records over 66 years

+22.8°1 October 2011All-time high

-0.5°30 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Pencoed (6.4 km away).

Fri, 09+12 ° /16 °

11.2

+16 °

Ystrad Fawr, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind29 mph W

Humidity93%

Visibility2.2 mi

Dew point15°C

Sat, 10+11 ° /13 °

+13 °

Ystrad Fawr, Saturday, 10 October

Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind20 mph NW

Humidity69%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+10 ° /14 °

0.2

+14 °

Ystrad Fawr, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind2 mph SE

Humidity76%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Mon, 12+13 ° /17 °

3.4

+17 °

Ystrad Fawr, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind9 mph S

Humidity93%

Visibility2.9 mi

Dew point16°C

Tue, 13+15 ° /17 °

4.9

+17 °

Ystrad Fawr, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 15°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind19 mph SW

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+12 ° /16 °

0.1

+16 °

Ystrad Fawr, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind11 mph SW

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Thu, 15+9 ° /13 °

+13 °

Ystrad Fawr, Thursday, 15 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind21 mph NW

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Fri, 16+8 ° /13 °

0.2

+13 °

Ystrad Fawr, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Sat, 17+5 ° /12 °

+12 °

Ystrad Fawr, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 12°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind12 mph E

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sun, 18+8 ° /13 °

1.9

+13 °

Ystrad Fawr, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind7 mph NE

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+10 ° /14 °

6.9

+14 °

Ystrad Fawr, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind24 mph E

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Tue, 20+9 ° /14 °

6.4

+14 °

Ystrad Fawr, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind22 mph E

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Wed, 21+12 ° /14 °

3.2

+14 °

Ystrad Fawr, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind17 mph E

Humidity85%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Thu, 22+11 ° /15 °

1.4

+15 °

Ystrad Fawr, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind6 mph E

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 23+10 ° /15 °

0.2

+15 °

Ystrad Fawr, Friday, 23 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind7 mph N

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+9 ° /13 °

5.1

+13 °

Ystrad Fawr, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record+1° (1987)

Sun, 25+9 ° /13 °

3.9

+13 °

Ystrad Fawr, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record0° (2010)

Mon, 26+9 ° /13 °

3.3

+13 °

Ystrad Fawr, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+4° (2003)

Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °

4.5

+13 °

Ystrad Fawr, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2003)

Wed, 28+9 ° /13 °

4.9

+13 °

Ystrad Fawr, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+2° (2018)

Thu, 29+8 ° /12 °

4.2

+12 °

Ystrad Fawr, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record+0° (2018)

Fri, 30+8 ° /13 °

4.5

+13 °

Ystrad Fawr, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+17° (2015)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Sat, 31+9 ° /13 °

5.5

+13 °

Ystrad Fawr, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (1992)

Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °

4.2

+12 °

Ystrad Fawr, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+16° (2020)

Coldest on record+2° (1988)

Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °

5.5

+12 °

Ystrad Fawr, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (2006)

Tue, 03+8 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Ystrad Fawr, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Ystrad Fawr, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+15° (1973)

Coldest on record0° (2006)

Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Ystrad Fawr, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record+1° (2021)

Fri, 06+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Ystrad Fawr, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+16° (2015)

Coldest on record+2° (2017)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Ystrad Fawr are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Ystrad Fawr since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.