As of 15:18 BST

Weather in Wern

+16°

Wern, Wednesday, 7 October, 15:18

Overcast. Feels like 15°C. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind14 mph N

Humidity72%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point10°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Wern: daytime temperatures averaging +13.7° and +7.2° overnight — that is 1.4° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 44 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 55 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+17.6°), the coolest 22 October (+3.9°).

+13.7°/+7.2°

Average day / night

+1.4°

Above average

7 / 7

Wet days / normal

44 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.7°	+12.7°	+2°
17 October – 26 October	+12.1°	+11.4°	+0.6°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+10.3°	—

October records over 66 years

+22.5°1 October 2011All-time high

-3.5°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Tredegar (8.9 km away).

Thu, 08+8 ° /14 °

0.2

+14 °

Wern, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /16 °

6.6

+16 °

Wern, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind18 mph W

Humidity98%

Visibility1.3 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /13 °

+13 °

Wern, Saturday, 10 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity69%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Wern, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind7 mph W

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Mon, 12+9 ° /18 °

4.4

+18 °

Wern, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity99%

Visibility—

Dew point15°C

Tue, 13+9 ° /17 °

2.6

+17 °

Wern, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind16 mph NW

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /16 °

+16 °

Wern, Wednesday, 14 October

Mainly clear. High 16°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind11 mph SW

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+6 ° /14 °

0.5

+14 °

Wern, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Fri, 16+5 ° /12 °

+12 °

Wern, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind7 mph SE

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sat, 17+6 ° /14 °

0.3

+14 °

Wern, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind13 mph W

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sun, 18+5 ° /13 °

0.2

+13 °

Wern, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind20 mph S

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /14 °

9.6

+14 °

Wern, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind27 mph SW

Humidity80%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Tue, 20+6 ° /10 °

11.8

+10 °

Wern, Tuesday, 20 October

Rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure997 mb

Wind18 mph SW

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Wed, 21+5 ° /11 °

+11 °

Wern, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1008 mb

Wind23 mph NW

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Thu, 22+4 ° /11 °

2.6

+11 °

Wern, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+6 ° /11 °

3.2

+11 °

Wern, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (2011)

Coldest on record-1° (1987)

Sat, 24+6 ° /11 °

4.5

+11 °

Wern, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+15° (1995)

Coldest on record-2° (1964)

Sun, 25+6 ° /11 °

4.1

+11 °

Wern, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (2013)

Coldest on record-3° (2010)

Mon, 26+6 ° /11 °

3.3

+11 °

Wern, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Tue, 27+6 ° /11 °

3.8

+11 °

Wern, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-3° (2003)

Wed, 28+6 ° /11 °

4.6

+11 °

Wern, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.6 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (2012)

Thu, 29+5 ° /11 °

3.8

+11 °

Wern, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+15° (2022)

Coldest on record-3° (2008)

Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °

4.3

+11 °

Wern, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.3 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (1983)

Sat, 31+6 ° /11 °

5.4

+11 °

Wern, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall5.4 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record-3° (1992)

Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °

+11 °

Wern, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+15° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Mon, 02+5 ° /10 °

5.1

+10 °

Wern, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record-3° (2006)

Tue, 03+5 ° /10 °

3.3

+10 °

Wern, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+14° (1979)

Coldest on record-3° (2006)

Wed, 04+4 ° /9 °

2.7

+9 °

Wern, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high9°C

Average low4°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+14° (1978)

Coldest on record-3° (2006)

Thu, 05+4 ° /9 °

3.2

+9 °

Wern, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high9°C

Average low4°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+14° (1978)

Coldest on record-2° (1965)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Wern are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Wern since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.