As of 16:29 BST

Weather in Welshwood Park

+13°

Welshwood Park, Thursday, 8 October, 16:29

Partly cloudy. Feels like 12°C. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity58%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Welshwood Park: daytime temperatures averaging +15.6° and +8.8° overnight — that is 1.2° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 2 days (around 10 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 33 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+20.9°), the coolest 17 October (+5.7°).

+15.6°/+8.8°

Average day / night

+1.2°

Above average

2 / 6

Wet days / normal

10 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+15.9°	+14.8°	+1.1°
18 October – 27 October	+15°	+13.6°	+1.5°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+12.1°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.8°2 October 2011All-time high

-0.5°31 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Colchester (3.3 km away).

Fri, 09+9 ° /19 °

3.8

+19 °

Welshwood Park, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 19°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind20 mph W

Humidity70%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point12°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /14 °

+14 °

Welshwood Park, Saturday, 10 October

Mainly clear. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity55%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Welshwood Park, Sunday, 11 October

Clear sky. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind11 mph W

Humidity62%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /17 °

+17 °

Welshwood Park, Monday, 12 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity69%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point10°C

Tue, 13+14 ° /21 °

0.7

+21 °

Welshwood Park, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 21°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind15 mph SW

Humidity79%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /18 °

+18 °

Welshwood Park, Wednesday, 14 October

Partly cloudy. High 18°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity49%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 15+8 ° /15 °

0.1

+15 °

Welshwood Park, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind18 mph SW

Humidity46%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Fri, 16+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Welshwood Park, Friday, 16 October

Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind15 mph W

Humidity48%

Visibility—

Dew point1°C

Sat, 17+6 ° /14 °

+14 °

Welshwood Park, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind6 mph SE

Humidity49%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Sun, 18+10 ° /13 °

4.7

+13 °

Welshwood Park, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind8 mph S

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Mon, 19+10 ° /15 °

0.6

+15 °

Welshwood Park, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind10 mph N

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 20+9 ° /15 °

0.4

+15 °

Welshwood Park, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind12 mph N

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Wed, 21+10 ° /16 °

+16 °

Welshwood Park, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind10 mph E

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Thu, 22+10 ° /16 °

+16 °

Welshwood Park, Thursday, 22 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1027 mb

Wind9 mph SE

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Fri, 23+11 ° /16 °

+16 °

Welshwood Park, Friday, 23 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind8 mph SE

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+9 ° /14 °

1.8

+14 °

Welshwood Park, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+19° (2017)

Coldest on record+2° (1964)

Sun, 25+9 ° /14 °

1.3

+14 °

Welshwood Park, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+18° (2013)

Coldest on record+3° (2003)

Mon, 26+9 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Welshwood Park, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+3° (1964)

Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °

1.8

+13 °

Welshwood Park, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+21° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (1984)

Wed, 28+8 ° /13 °

2.4

+13 °

Welshwood Park, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+2° (2012)

Thu, 29+8 ° /13 °

1.4

+13 °

Welshwood Park, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (2008)

Fri, 30+8 ° /13 °

1.4

+13 °

Welshwood Park, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1983)

Sat, 31+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Welshwood Park, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Sun, 01+8 ° /13 °

2.2

+13 °

Welshwood Park, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+17° (1999)

Coldest on record+2° (1988)

Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Welshwood Park, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2020)

Coldest on record+1° (1985)

Tue, 03+7 ° /12 °

1.8

+12 °

Welshwood Park, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record-1° (1985)

Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °

2.1

+11 °

Welshwood Park, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+16° (2010)

Coldest on record+1° (1966)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

1.5

+11 °

Welshwood Park, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Fri, 06+7 ° /11 °

2.5

+11 °

Welshwood Park, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record+0° (2017)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Welshwood Park are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Welshwood Park since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.